# Julius Randle: 4+ assists

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 51% across 20 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaast
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.626Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-23

## Headline

- Probability: 51% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ assists: Marcus Smart: 2+ | 85¢ | — | $794 | kalshi | /markets/marcus-smart-2-assists-marcus-smart-2-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalmsmart36-2 |
| 4+ assists: LeBron James: 4+ | 95¢ | — | $557 | kalshi | /markets/lebron-james-4-assists-lebron-james-4-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalljames23-4 |
| 6+ assists: LeBron James: 6+ | 79¢ | — | $265 | kalshi | /markets/lebron-james-6-assists-lebron-james-6-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalljames23-6 |
| 6+ assists: Austin Reaves: 6+ | 48¢ | — | $202 | kalshi | /markets/austin-reaves-6-assists-austin-reaves-6-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalareaves15-6 |
| 6+ assists: Donovan Mitchell: 6+ | 21¢ | — | $126 | kalshi | /markets/donovan-mitchell-6-assists-donovan-mitchell-6-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-cledmitchell45-6 |
| 10+ assists: LeBron James: 10+ | 28¢ | — | $118 | kalshi | /markets/lebron-james-10-assists-lebron-james-10-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalljames23-10 |
| 2+ assists: Tobias Harris: 2+ | 55¢ | — | $94 | kalshi | /markets/tobias-harris-2-assists-tobias-harris-2-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-dettharris12-2 |
| 4+ assists: Marcus Smart: 4+ | 56¢ | — | $86 | kalshi | /markets/marcus-smart-4-assists-marcus-smart-4-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalmsmart36-4 |
| 8+ assists: James Harden: 8+ | 39¢ | — | $54 | kalshi | /markets/james-harden-8-assists-james-harden-8-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-clejharden1-8 |
| 2+ assists: Austin Reaves: 2+ | 92¢ | — | $42 | kalshi | /markets/austin-reaves-2-assists-austin-reaves-2-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalareaves15-2 |
| 6+ assists: Marcus Smart: 6+ | 20¢ | — | $38 | kalshi | /markets/marcus-smart-6-assists-marcus-smart-6-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalmsmart36-6 |
| 4+ assists: Austin Reaves: 4+ | 80¢ | — | $36 | kalshi | /markets/austin-reaves-4-assists-austin-reaves-4-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalareaves15-4 |
| 8+ assists: Jalen Duren: 8+ | 5¢ | — | $14 | kalshi | /markets/jalen-duren-8-assists-jalen-duren-8-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-detjduren0-8 |
| 12+ assists: LeBron James: 12+ | 14¢ | — | $13 | kalshi | /markets/lebron-james-12-assists-lebron-james-12-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalljames23-12 |
| 5+ assists: Austin Reaves: 5+ | 64¢ | — | $7 | kalshi | /markets/austin-reaves-5-assists-austin-reaves-5-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-lalareaves15-5 |
| 6+ assists: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 6+ | 67¢ | — | $7 | kalshi | /markets/shai-gilgeous-alexander-6-assists-shai-gilgeous-al-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09okclal-okcsgilgeousalexander2-6 |
| 2+ assists: Jalen Duren: 2+ | 64¢ | — | $7 | kalshi | /markets/jalen-duren-2-assists-jalen-duren-2-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-detjduren0-2 |
| 3+ assists: Jalen Duren: 3+ | 37¢ | — | $4 | kalshi | /markets/jalen-duren-3-assists-jalen-duren-3-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-detjduren0-3 |
| 4+ assists: Donovan Mitchell: 4+ | 56¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/donovan-mitchell-4-assists-donovan-mitchell-4-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-cledmitchell45-4 |
| 6+ assists: Ausar Thompson: 6+ | 12¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/ausar-thompson-6-assists-ausar-thompson-6-kalshi-kxnbaast-26may09detcle-detathompson9-6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | 40 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaast
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nbaast

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.