# Will Timothée Chalamet attend Game 2: 76ers vs Knicks

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 10% across 1 contract — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaattend
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.442Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-20

## Headline

- Probability: 10% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $18

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10¢ | +2pp | $18 | kalshi | /markets/will-sabrina-carpenter-attend-any-knicks-playoff-g-kalshi-kxnbaattend-26knicks-sab |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 5 |
| 2026-05-07 | 8 |
| 2026-05-08 | 10 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Yes +3pp 5→8¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market estimates an 79% likelihood that actor Timothée Chalamet will attend Game 2 of an NBA Eastern Conference playoff series between the Philadelphia 76ers and New York Knicks. The high probability reflects Chalamet's documented history of attending major NBA games, particularly in New York where he maintains a residence. The estimate could shift based on his documented schedule, travel commitments, or any public statements about his attendance. The market will resolve definitively when Game 2 occurs and attendance is confirmed or refuted through official channels, broadcasters, or credible reporting. Trading activity on this contract ($1,043 in 24-hour volume) suggests moderate market interest, though liquidity trails similar celebrity attendance markets for higher-profile attendees like Spike Lee and Ben Stiller.

### Key factors

- Chalamet's documented attendance pattern at New York-area sporting events over the past 3-5 years
- Any public statements or social media posts from Chalamet regarding his schedule or attendance plans during the series dates
- Game 2's scheduled date and time relative to Chalamet's known film production or promotional commitments
- Historical precedent comparing his attendance rates at Knicks playoff games versus regular season games
- Comparison to comparable markets showing how celebrity attendance probabilities have resolved in recent NBA playoffs

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaattend
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nbaattend

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.