# Who will win Coach of the Year

> Joe Mazzulla leads at 94%, runner-up 3% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbacoy
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:52.339Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-04-12

## Headline

- Leader: Joe Mazzulla at 94%
- Runner-up: JB Bickerstaff at 3%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $89K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mazzulla | 94¢ | ±0 | $33K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-win-coach-of-the-year-joe-mazzulla-kalshi-kxnbacoy-26-jmaz |
| JB Bickerstaff | 3¢ | ±0 | $56K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-win-coach-of-the-year-jb-bickerstaff-kalshi-kxnbacoy-26-jbic |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Joe Mazzulla | JB Bickerstaff |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 28 | 69 |
| 2026-04-19 | 95 | 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | 96 | 3 |
| 2026-04-26 | 96 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 95 | 3 |
| 2026-05-03 | 95 | — |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

Joe Mazzulla is priced at 94% to win Coach of the Year, reflecting strong confidence from prediction market participants that he will receive the award. This probability represents traders' assessment of his likelihood compared to other candidates. The high probability reflects Mazzulla's recent coaching performance and recognition in the 2025-26 season, while the 6-point gap to alternatives suggests some residual uncertainty about voting outcomes or competing candidates' credentials. The award will be resolved when the official Coach of the Year is announced, typically in late spring following the regular season. Market participants are predominantly backing Mazzulla, though the 24-hour volume on the JB Bickerstaff contract ($75,270) exceeds that of Mazzulla's contract, potentially indicating active debate about whether the gap should narrow.

### Key factors

- Joe Mazzulla's team performance and win-loss record relative to other coaches' records during the 2025-26 regular season
- Historical voting patterns in Coach of the Year selection and whether voters favor record, improvement margin, or narrative factors
- Emergence of competing candidates with strong records or notable turnarounds that could consolidate the 6% alternative probability
- The official announcement date and voting body composition, which determines when this market resolves to certainty
- Contract volume disparity ($75,270 on Bickerstaff vs. $36,019 on Mazzulla in 24 hours) suggesting active traders may view the gap as unsustainably wide

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbacoy
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nbacoy

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.