# Will the first road win of the series be in Game 3

> Game 3 leads at 77%, runner-up 37% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaseriesroadwin
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:41.361Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Game 3 at 77%
- Runner-up: Game 3 at 37%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 3 | 77¢ | ±0 | $503 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-3-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26lalokcr2-3 |
| Game 3 | 37¢ | +8pp | $873 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-3-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26cledetr2-3 |
| Game 4 | 24¢ | −3pp | $205 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-4-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26cledetr2-4 |
| Game 6 | 15¢ | −1pp | $210 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-6-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26cledetr2-6 |
| Game 4 | 14¢ | +2pp | $360 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-4-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26lalokcr2-4 |
| No road wins during series | 8¢ | +1pp | $178 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-not-happen-n-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26cledetr2-none |
| Game 5 | 7¢ | −1pp | $501 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-5-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26cledetr2-5 |
| Game 6 | 3¢ | −1pp | $103 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-first-road-win-of-the-series-be-in-game-6-kalshi-kxnbaseriesroadwin-26lalokcr2-6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Game 3 | Game 3 | Game 4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 13 | — | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 45 | — | — |
| 2026-05-06 | 61 | 22 | 17 |
| 2026-05-07 | 65 | 24 | 17 |
| 2026-05-08 | 65 | 32 | 14 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Game 3 +32pp 13→45¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Game 3 +16pp 45→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Game 6 +12pp 4→16¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Game 3 +8pp 24→32¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Game 4 +8pp 2→10¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaseriesroadwin
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nbaseriesroadwin

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.