# Will New York cover -2.5 games in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 51% across 11 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaseriesspread
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.375Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-03

## Headline

- Probability: 51% (liquidity-weighted across 11 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $24K

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York -2.5 games | 83¢ | +3pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/will-new-york-cover-25-games-in-the-philadelphia-v-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26phinykr2-nyk3 |
| San Antonio -1.5 games | 53¢ | +4pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-san-antonio-cover-15-games-in-the-minnesota-v-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26minsasr2-sas2 |
| San Antonio -2.5 games | 30¢ | +7pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-san-antonio-cover-25-games-in-the-minnesota-v-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26minsasr2-sas3 |
| Oklahoma City -2.5 games | 88¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-oklahoma-city-cover-25-games-in-the-los-angel-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26lalokcr2-okc3 |
| Minnesota -1.5 games | 4¢ | ±0 | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-minnesota-cover-15-games-in-the-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26minsasr2-min2 |
| New York -1.5 games | 95¢ | +8pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-new-york-cover-15-games-in-the-philadelphia-v-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26phinykr2-nyk2 |
| Detroit -1.5 games | 57¢ | −2pp | $506 | kalshi | /markets/will-detroit-cover-15-games-in-the-cleveland-vs-de-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26cledetr2-det2 |
| Detroit -2.5 games | 40¢ | −3pp | $216 | kalshi | /markets/will-detroit-cover-25-games-in-the-cleveland-vs-de-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26cledetr2-det3 |
| Oklahoma City -1.5 games | 96¢ | −10pp | $114 | kalshi | /markets/will-oklahoma-city-cover-15-games-in-the-los-angel-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26lalokcr2-okc2 |
| Cleveland -1.5 games | 6¢ | −8pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-cleveland-cover-15-games-in-the-cleveland-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26cledetr2-cle2 |
| Minnesota -2.5 games | 4¢ | −7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-minnesota-cover-25-games-in-the-minnesota-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesspread-26minsasr2-min3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 31 |
| 2026-05-02 | 58 |
| 2026-05-08 | 48 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · San Antonio -2.5 games −52pp 67→15¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · San Antonio -1.5 games −41pp 80→39¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · Minnesota -1.5 games +19pp 2→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Oklahoma City -1.5 games +18pp 73→91¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · San Antonio -1.5 games +15pp 65→80¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nbaseriesspread
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nbaseriesspread

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.