# NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion

> 2027 National Champion: Ohio State Buckeyes leads at 33%, runner-up 32% across 16 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ncaa-football-national-champion
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:50:58.683Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-26

## Headline

- Leader: 2027 National Champion: Ohio State Buckeyes at 33%
- Runner-up: 2027 National Champion: Texas Tech Red Raiders at 32%
- Outcomes: 16 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 National Champion: Ohio State Buckeyes | 33¢ | +3pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-ohio-state-bu-polymarket-0xd300281d87f0a382354ee1d093f8d881da312b85a7148e76e5bdd2174eb9e67b |
| 2027 National Champion: Texas Tech Red Raiders | 32¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-texas-tech-re-polymarket-0x2ad5969e933ceefef40402a33420ee5d59af1598fc1ad6c8910b8e2badc60553 |
| 2027 National Champion: Texas Longhorns | 31¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-texas-longhor-polymarket-0x040a5bbd143a046f8ff47f3112358b2a6377d3f1a91a3c5794c1bb15eadd0c5d |
| 2027 National Champion: Oklahoma Sooners | 30¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-oklahoma-soon-polymarket-0x8887cbad9c05cd78202ccc99f39cab16d833838065f40774f3fdcfe53c4691e5 |
| 2027 National Champion: Miami Hurricanes | 30¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-miami-hurrica-polymarket-0x3bebcddd5740f57dded79156b4d9558f46a6c252d107056c5d1d6a8c1bcbe390 |
| 2027 National Champion: Oregon Ducks | 28¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-oregon-ducks-polymarket-0xa68349bd08f7036dff1aceb7833aa152e272cb48f2f4acf9f542a59d54d60649 |
| 2027 National Champion: Indiana Hoosiers | 28¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-indiana-hoosi-polymarket-0xa4f3118c0238fa43bc40626f26f54ad849095620231d716a8cf09fc4d6baa4b8 |
| 2027 National Champion: Georgia Bulldogs | 26¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-georgia-bulld-polymarket-0xd0d47637e25a2ddccb016ba469d6a7ec4be45a937f520faa23a8cbbd14a74759 |
| 2027 National Champion: Alabama Crimson Tide | 16¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-alabama-crims-polymarket-0xb5a3da80024deaeccef48964c30ea6df0ec50c773f2a71d58db9ae889219ac3d |
| 2027 National Champion: Florida Gators | 15¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-florida-gator-polymarket-0x3a41a0d9474d9902476a7f9487061b585e3bc37ae8c1838dedcd75f44ad8964d |
| 2027 National Champion: Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-notre-dame-fi-polymarket-0x7d24d02b00d6769bd42af5b13ba704bcfe66bc940ead0ed9cf3c0f1017926b5f |
| 2027 National Champion: Michigan Wolverines | 11¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-michigan-wolv-polymarket-0x95903b62bef2580d600269e064b6a24949f46a1d43007c14f68afc15e394a57f |
| 2027 National Champion: Mississippi Rebels | 10¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-mississippi-r-polymarket-0x0fa5a792770735b40d6807d618b25b758d737b33ece999602c19e9fc25955e8f |
| 2027 National Champion: LSU Tigers | 6¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-lsu-tigers-polymarket-0x3afea9c03bc978ae991e54f6d0545d05f7c2189e6242871f3fac60d728b6850f |
| 2027 National Champion: USC Trojans | 6¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-usc-trojans-polymarket-0x458e8ef4961c0c0d8c902ce077cd26c041246ab70f5028f2d14841fa506fa2cf |
| 2027 National Champion: Texas A&M Aggies | 5¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ncaa-football-2027-national-champion-texas-am-aggi-polymarket-0xb8faaa8ac2070c7d4a099fa26a81a2c3f2285afcb22c8647a4d976bfe38ad910 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 2027 National Champion: Ohio State Buckeyes | 2027 National Champion: Texas Tech Red Raiders | 2027 National Champion: Texas Longhorns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 31 | 22 | 33 |
| 2026-05-02 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 32 | 23 | 27 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · 2027 National Champion: Georgia Bulldogs +7pp 14→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · 2027 National Champion: Oregon Ducks +5pp 20→25¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · 2027 National Champion: Indiana Hoosiers −5pp 28→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · 2027 National Champion: Oklahoma Sooners −5pp 24→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · 2027 National Champion: Texas Longhorns −4pp 31→27¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

Ohio State is currently the highest-priced contract for the 2027 NCAA Football National Champion at 32%, reflecting a roughly 1-in-3 chance according to prediction markets. This price reflects the Buckeyes' strong recent recruiting, returning offensive talent, and Big Ten conference strength, though they face competition from other blue-chip programs. The main factors influencing this probability are the development of the quarterback position, recruiting class rankings for the 2027 roster, and the evolution of the broader college football landscape following recent conference realignment. Uncertainty will gradually resolve through the 2026 season, where Ohio State's performance against top-tier opponents will significantly move the needle. The scheduled College Football Playoff semifinals and championship game in January 2027 will ultimately determine the outcome.

### Key factors

- Ohio State's QB situation and offensive line development heading into the 2026 season affects tournament viability more than historical tradition alone
- Comparative recruiting rankings and portal activity among top programs will shift market odds as the 2026 season approaches
- 2026 regular season performance, particularly outcomes against ranked opponents, serves as the primary real-time signal for championship probability adjustment
- Injury history to key offensive and defensive players during 2026 will create live volatility in contract pricing
- Runner-up Notre Dame at 27% creates a 5-percentage-point gap that could close or widen based on program trajectory clarity by mid-2026

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ncaa-football-national-champion
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ncaa-football-national-champion

## License

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