# Youngstown State vs Toledo winner

> Closed. Last odds frozen 9 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ncaabbgame
Updated: 2026-05-08T18:50:15.207Z
Category: general
Status: historical

## Headline

- Probability: 46% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $848

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | 36¢ | — | $651 | kalshi | /markets/auburn-vs-mississippi-state-winner-auburn-kalshi-kxncaabbgame-26may072000autmsb-aut |
| Mississippi State | 56¢ | — | $197 | kalshi | /markets/auburn-vs-mississippi-state-winner-mississippi-sta-kalshi-kxncaabbgame-26may072000autmsb-msb |
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 45¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/texas-am-corpus-christi-vs-new-orleans-winner-texa-kalshi-kxncaabbgame-26may071930texnop-tex |
| New Orleans | 47¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/texas-am-corpus-christi-vs-new-orleans-winner-new-kalshi-kxncaabbgame-26may071930texnop-nop |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 47 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ncaabbgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ncaabbgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.