# Will Kansas win the Missouri vs Kansas college football game

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 36% across 20 contracts — refreshed 20 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ncaafgame
Updated: 2026-05-28T23:20:09.558Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2026-09-21

## Headline

- Probability: 36% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $493

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose St. | 7¢ | ±0 | $151 | kalshi | /markets/will-san-jose-st-win-the-san-jose-st-vs-usc-colleg-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29sjsuusc-sjsu |
| Texas Tech | 55¢ | −10pp | $111 | kalshi | /markets/will-texas-tech-win-the-houston-vs-texas-tech-coll-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep18houttu-ttu |
| Texas | 48¢ | +1pp | $84 | kalshi | /markets/will-texas-win-the-ohio-st-vs-texas-college-footba-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep12osutex-tex |
| North Carolina | 24¢ | +1pp | $50 | kalshi | /markets/will-north-carolina-win-the-north-carolina-vs-tcu-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29unctcu-unc |
| USC | 89¢ | +1pp | $47 | kalshi | /markets/will-usc-win-the-san-jose-st-vs-usc-college-footba-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29sjsuusc-usc |
| Michigan St. | 7¢ | −1pp | $32 | kalshi | /markets/will-michigan-st-win-the-michigan-st-vs-notre-dame-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep19msund-msu |
| New Mexico St. | 7¢ | −1pp | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-new-mexico-st-win-the-new-mexico-st-vs-florid-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29nmsufsu-nmsu |
| TCU | 62¢ | +1pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-tcu-win-the-north-carolina-vs-tcu-college-foo-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29unctcu-tcu |
| Ohio St. | 43¢ | −2pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-ohio-st-win-the-ohio-st-vs-texas-college-foot-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep12osutex-osu |
| Houston | 8¢ | −1pp | $3 | kalshi | /markets/will-houston-win-the-houston-vs-texas-tech-college-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep18houttu-hou |
| Stanford | 49¢ | ±0 | $3 | kalshi | /markets/will-stanford-win-the-hawaii-vs-stanford-college-f-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29hawstan-stan |
| Hawai'i | 30¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-hawaii-win-the-hawaii-vs-stanford-college-foo-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29hawstan-haw |
| LSU | 23¢ | −9pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lsu-win-the-lsu-vs-ole-miss-college-football-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep19lsumiss-lsu |
| Ole Miss | 39¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ole-miss-win-the-lsu-vs-ole-miss-college-foot-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep19lsumiss-miss |
| North Carolina St. | 38¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-north-carolina-st-win-the-north-carolina-st-v-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29ncstuva-ncst |
| Virginia | 50¢ | +41pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-virginia-win-the-north-carolina-st-vs-virgini-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29ncstuva-uva |
| Florida St. | 89¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-florida-st-win-the-new-mexico-st-vs-florida-s-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26aug29nmsufsu-fsu |
| Clemson | 15¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-clemson-win-the-clemson-vs-lsu-college-footba-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep05clemlsu-clem |
| LSU | 8¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lsu-win-the-clemson-vs-lsu-college-football-g-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep05clemlsu-lsu |
| Louisville | 25¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-louisville-win-the-louisville-vs-ole-miss-col-kalshi-kxncaafgame-26sep06loumiss-lou |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | 47 |
| 2026-05-21 | 28 |
| 2026-05-27 | 38 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-25 · LSU −63pp 75→12¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-21 · Florida St. −56pp 84→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Florida St. +50pp 28→78¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Virginia +41pp 10→51¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-23 · Ole Miss +20pp 15→35¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ncaafgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ncaafgame

## License

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