# #2 US Netflix Movie on Apr 27, 2026

> Swapped leads at 86%, runner-up 11% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/netflixrankmovierunnerup
Updated: 2026-05-03T21:50:49.801Z
Category: entertainment
Status: active

## Headline

- Leader: Swapped at 86%
- Runner-up: Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill at 11%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $5K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swapped | 86¢ | +40pp | $963 | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-movie-on-may-4-2026-swapped-kalshi-kxnetflixrankmovierunnerup-26may04-swa |
| Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill | 11¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-movie-on-may-4-2026-untold-the-shooti-kalshi-kxnetflixrankmovierunnerup-26may04-unt |
| Roommates | 4¢ | −6pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-movie-on-may-4-2026-roommates-kalshi-kxnetflixrankmovierunnerup-26may04-roo |
| Apex | 3¢ | +2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-movie-on-may-4-2026-apex-kalshi-kxnetflixrankmovierunnerup-26may04-ape |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Swapped | Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill | Roommates |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | — | — | 24 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2 | — | 14 |
| 2026-05-01 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| 2026-05-02 | 48 | — | 10 |
| 2026-05-03 | 88 | — | 4 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Swapped +40pp 48→88¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Swapped +39pp 9→48¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Roommates −10pp 24→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Swapped +7pp 2→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Roommates −6pp 10→4¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/netflixrankmovierunnerup
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=netflixrankmovierunnerup

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.