# Top Global Netflix Show on Apr 27, 2026

> Man on Fire: Season 1 leads at 69%, runner-up 6% across 6 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/netflixrankshowglobal
Updated: 2026-05-03T21:50:53.977Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Leader: Man on Fire: Season 1 at 69%
- Runner-up: Running Point: Season 2 at 6%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $14K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man on Fire: Season 1 | 69¢ | −11pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/top-global-netflix-show-on-may-4-2026-man-on-fire-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowglobal-26may04-man |
| Running Point: Season 2 | 6¢ | — | $5 | kalshi | /markets/top-global-netflix-show-on-may-4-2026-running-poin-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowglobal-26may04-run |
| Unchosen: Season 1 | 4¢ | −1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/top-global-netflix-show-on-may-4-2026-unchosen-sea-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowglobal-26may04-unc |
| Trust Me: The False Prophet: Season 1 | 3¢ | — | $5 | kalshi | /markets/top-global-netflix-show-on-may-4-2026-trust-me-the-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowglobal-26may04-tru |
| Hulk Hogan: Real American: Limited Series | 3¢ | — | $5 | kalshi | /markets/top-global-netflix-show-on-may-4-2026-hulk-hogan-r-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowglobal-26may04-hul |
| Million Dollar Secret: Season 2 | 3¢ | — | $5 | kalshi | /markets/top-global-netflix-show-on-may-4-2026-million-doll-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowglobal-26may04-mil |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Man on Fire: Season 1 | Running Point: Season 2 | Unchosen: Season 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 11 | — | 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | 26 | — | 6 |
| 2026-05-01 | 61 | 4 | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | 60 | — | 4 |
| 2026-05-03 | 49 | — | 3 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Man on Fire: Season 1 +35pp 26→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Man on Fire: Season 1 +15pp 11→26¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Man on Fire: Season 1 −11pp 60→49¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/netflixrankshowglobal
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=netflixrankshowglobal

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.