# #2 US Netflix Show on Apr 27, 2026

> Man on Fire: Season 1 leads at 56%, runner-up 12% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/netflixrankshowrunnerup
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:40.287Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: Man on Fire: Season 1 at 56%
- Runner-up: Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 at 12%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man on Fire: Season 1 | 56¢ | +32pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-show-on-may-11-2026-man-on-fire-seaso-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowrunnerup-26may11-man |
| Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 | 12¢ | +2pp | $990 | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-show-on-may-11-2026-worst-ex-ever-sea-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowrunnerup-26may11-wor |
| Homicide Squad: New Orleans: Season 1 | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-show-on-may-11-2026-homicide-squad-ne-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowrunnerup-26may11-hom |
| The Roast of Kevin Hart | 4¢ | +2pp | $73 | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-show-on-may-11-2026-the-roast-of-kevi-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowrunnerup-26may11-roa |
| Should I Marry A Murderer?: Limited Series | 3¢ | −2pp | $7K | kalshi | /markets/2-us-netflix-show-on-may-11-2026-should-i-marry-a-kalshi-kxnetflixrankshowrunnerup-26may11-sho |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Man on Fire: Season 1 | Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 | Homicide Squad: New Orleans: Season 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 13 | 7 | 5 |
| 2026-05-08 | 25 | 10 | — |
| 2026-05-09 | 57 | 12 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · Man on Fire: Season 1 +32pp 25→57¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Man on Fire: Season 1 +12pp 13→25¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 +3pp 7→10¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/netflixrankshowrunnerup
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=netflixrankshowrunnerup

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.