# New England Revolution vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 43% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/new-england-revolution-vs-charlotte-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:27.792Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-02

## Headline

- Probability: 43% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 52% / Polymarket 35% — 17pp spread
- 24h volume: $346K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Y | 68¢ | +2pp | $280K | kalshi | /markets/baltimore-vs-new-york-y-winner-new-york-y-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may031335balnyy-nyy |
| Baltimore | 32¢ | −2pp | $18K | kalshi | /markets/baltimore-vs-new-york-y-winner-baltimore-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may031335balnyy-bal |
| Mike Vrabel | 78¢ | +2pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-the-head-coach-of-new-england-for-week-kalshi-kxcoachondate-ne26-mvra |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 54¢ | +1pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/baltimore-vs-new-york-y-total-runs-over-85-runs-sc-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031335balnyy-9 |
| Yes | 49¢ | +2pp | $9K | kalshi | /markets/baltimore-vs-new-york-y-first-inning-run-yes-kalshi-kxmlbrfi-26may031335balnyy |
| New England Patriots | 5¢ | +33pp | $5K | polymarket | /markets/nfl-champion-2027-new-england-patriots-polymarket-0x8133843fe31063a6cc17c4582c023a832ee64802c98fcc08d79521629831d3c4 |
| New York Y | 69¢ | +7pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/baltimore-vs-new-york-y-winner-new-york-y-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may041905balnyy-nyy |
| New England | 3¢ | — | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-new-england-win-the-2027-pro-football-champio-kalshi-kxsb-27-ne |
| New England | 81¢ | ±0 | $4K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-aj-browns-next-team-new-england-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26abrown-ne |
| Philadelphia | 36¢ | +17pp | $428 | kalshi | /markets/new-england-vs-philadelphia-winner-philadelphia-kalshi-kxmlsgame-26may09nephi-phi |
| Los Angeles FC (-1.5) | 30¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-lo-polymarket-0xe4ead24bcac5166d1bae6a470ba123e2cbdb92fd779b7db7398eb820073c9aca |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-bo-polymarket-0x361d0825fd5d45ed9f9fffca2764928f720727ea72d2576db6974c6d2de1fcba |
| Los Angeles FC (-2.5) | 28¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-lo-polymarket-0x8cd527f3f12d1be337c35190a6bfe356675629909cbf9b532efdb5173accd5dd |
| New York City FC (-2.5) | 31¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ne-polymarket-0x749d6005cbd935d0457b1ba46084f8fed6e75daea118208b0a6f978d36a9214e |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x087e96b348af724088fc5c0c9620932971bbee21079bd0619bac94f9d8554031 |
| New England Revolution | 31¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-club-will-cristiano-ronaldo-play-for-next-ne-polymarket-0x162c2887f5aacb82c1fdfd7bcb5a3d7767187fc40474ba8e95b15d7e9c39b850 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0e25b551a118495f7e2c433fd68e6e53fcf38d6641d1723c648e6161691a6674 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xfb53dd6e13e99ece1a90b3bc7f0934ba6bdf58aef1c18fd059cd33befde82bf6 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x3b1359b9f8079ea94c2bd322eac8ad2a438ee02512379e968426b64f1395c2a6 |
| New York City FC (-1.5) | 27¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ne-polymarket-0x52ecc53ae751a4a04406a38d2eae3d0bb5c00a4010daf306acb60d6c2f391539 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 32 |
| 2026-04-19 | 35 |
| 2026-04-26 | 49 |
| 2026-05-03 | 49 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-28 · New England Revolution +50pp 0→50¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-28 · New England Patriots +33pp 6→39¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Philadelphia +17pp 20→37¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Mike Vrabel +8pp 68→76¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Mike Vrabel −7pp 71→64¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/new-england-revolution-vs-charlotte-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=new-england-revolution-vs-charlotte-fc-more-markets

## License

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