# New York Red Bulls vs. FC Dallas

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 8% across 1 contract — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/new-york-red-bulls-vs-fc-dallas
Updated: 2026-05-09T09:05:28.047Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-11-01

## Headline

- Probability: 8% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | 8¢ | ±0 | $3K | kalshi | /markets/what-states-will-redistrict-before-the-2026-congre-kalshi-kxredistricting-26-ny |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | 10 |
| 2026-05-08 | 7 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · New York −4pp 11→7¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/new-york-red-bulls-vs-fc-dallas
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=new-york-red-bulls-vs-fc-dallas

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.