# Who will be Trump's next Attorney General

> Todd Blanche leads at 62%, runner-up 17% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nextag
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:59.146Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2029-01-20

## Headline

- Leader: Todd Blanche at 62%
- Runner-up: Lee Zeldin at 17%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $26K

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Blanche | 62¢ | ±0 | $16K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general-todd-blan-kalshi-kxnextag-29-tbla |
| Lee Zeldin | 17¢ | −4pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general-lee-zeldi-kalshi-kxnextag-29-lzel |
| Ron DeSantis | 6¢ | −1pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general-ron-desan-kalshi-kxnextag-29-rdes |
| Jeanine Pirro | 3¢ | ±0 | $3K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general-jeanine-p-kalshi-kxnextag-29-jpir |
| Harmeet Dhillon | 3¢ | ±0 | $54 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-trumps-next-attorney-general-harmeet-d-kalshi-kxnextag-29-hdhi |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Todd Blanche | Lee Zeldin | Ron DeSantis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 29 | 36 | — |
| 2026-04-13 | 27 | 42 | 2 |
| 2026-04-19 | 22 | 50 | 3 |
| 2026-04-26 | 52 | 25 | 5 |
| 2026-05-01 | 60 | 18 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 63 | — | 6 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-26 · Todd Blanche +12pp 40→52¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Todd Blanche +8pp 52→60¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Lee Zeldin −8pp 33→25¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Todd Blanche −7pp 60→53¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Todd Blanche +5pp 55→60¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

Todd Blanche is currently priced at 62% to become Trump's next Attorney General, with Lee Zeldin at 17% as the runner-up. Blanche's elevated probability likely reflects his prominence as a Trump legal representative and recent visibility. The outcome hinges on Trump's appointment decision, which could occur during his term depending on vacancy circumstances or staffing transitions. Key catalysts include actual departures or announcements from current or future DOJ leadership. Market participants are pricing in Blanche's odds based on perceived proximity to Trump's inner circle and litigation experience. Resolution will occur when Trump formally announces or nominates his choice for the Attorney General position.

### Key factors

- Blanche holds substantial recent legal representation experience for Trump across multiple cases
- Lee Zeldin's 17% pricing reflects his established political background and prior Trump administration service
- No scheduled announcement date is publicly known; resolution depends on when a vacancy or staffing change occurs
- Market volume of $16,133 in 24-hour trading on the Blanche contract indicates moderate information flow but concentrated betting
- Competing candidates including DeSantis, Zeldin, and Pirro collectively hold 27% implied probability, showing meaningful alternative possibilities

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nextag
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nextag
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.