# What will be David Njoku's next team

> New England leads at 81%, runner-up 70% across 11 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nextteamnfl
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:55.019Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Leader: New England at 81%
- Runner-up: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires at 70%
- Outcomes: 11 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $11K

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England | 81¢ | ±0 | $4K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-aj-browns-next-team-new-england-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26abrown-ne |
| Stays with Las Vegas or Retires | 70¢ | ±0 | $60 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-maxx-crosbys-next-team-stays-with-las-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26mcrosby-lv |
| Kansas City | 40¢ | −1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-tyreek-hills-next-team-kansas-city-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26thill-kc |
| Los Angeles C | 28¢ | +13pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-david-njokus-next-team-los-angeles-c-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26dnjoku-lac |
| Stays with Philadelphia or Retires | 10¢ | +1pp | $939 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-aj-browns-next-team-stays-with-philad-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26abrown-phi |
| Miami | 6¢ | ±0 | $252 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-david-njokus-next-team-miami-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26dnjoku-mia |
| Buffalo | 5¢ | ±0 | $100 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-tyreek-hills-next-team-buffalo-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26thill-buf |
| Stays with Miami or Retires | 5¢ | −3pp | $59 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-tyreek-hills-next-team-stays-with-mia-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26thill-mia |
| Carolina | 4¢ | −3pp | $205 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-david-njokus-next-team-carolina-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26dnjoku-car |
| Los Angeles R | 3¢ | −1pp | $83 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-aj-browns-next-team-los-angeles-r-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26abrown-la |
| Dallas | 3¢ | −1pp | $10 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-maxx-crosbys-next-team-dallas-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26mcrosby-dal |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | New England | Stays with Las Vegas or Retires | Kansas City |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 59 | 67 | 32 |
| 2026-04-18 | 67 | 65 | 30 |
| 2026-04-19 | 62 | 66 | — |
| 2026-04-26 | 83 | 64 | 47 |
| 2026-05-03 | 80 | 69 | 34 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Los Angeles C +18pp 2→20¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Los Angeles C +13pp 20→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Kansas City −13pp 47→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · New England −7pp 83→76¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Kansas City +7pp 40→47¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that David Njoku will play for the Los Angeles Chargers as his next team. The 78% figure represents the highest-priced outcome among multiple competing destinations. Market pricing is influenced by contract availability, salary cap constraints across NFL teams, and Njoku's performance metrics entering the offseason. The primary resolution catalyst depends on the NFL's free-agency period and trade deadline windows, where team roster decisions and player movement typically occur. Shifts in this probability would follow explicit team statements about roster intentions, reported contract negotiations, or trades involving Njoku.

### Key factors

- Los Angeles Chargers' salary cap capacity and stated roster priorities heading into the 2026 offseason
- Njoku's contract status, injury history, and performance statistics compared to other available tight end options
- Competing destinations' need at tight end and willingness to allocate resources to that position
- Official team announcements, reported trade activity, or free-agency signings that narrow available options
- Timing of NFL free agency and trade windows when actual team transitions are formalized

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nextteamnfl
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nextteamnfl

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.