# Will Micah Parsons win the Comeback Player of the Year

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 12% across 5 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nflcpoty
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.685Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2028-02-21

## Headline

- Probability: 12% (liquidity-weighted across 5 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $39

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 5¢ | — | $39 | kalshi | /markets/will-kyler-murray-win-the-comeback-player-of-the-y-kalshi-kxnflcpoty-27-kmurray1 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 31¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-patrick-mahomes-win-the-comeback-player-of-th-kalshi-kxnflcpoty-27-pmahomes15 |
| Micah Parsons | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-micah-parsons-win-the-comeback-player-of-the-kalshi-kxnflcpoty-27-mparsons1 |
| Malik Nabers | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-malik-nabers-win-the-comeback-player-of-the-y-kalshi-kxnflcpoty-27-mnabers1 |
| Travis Hunter | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-travis-hunter-win-the-comeback-player-of-the-kalshi-kxnflcpoty-27-thunter12 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 21 |
| 2026-05-07 | 32 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nflcpoty
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nflcpoty

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.