# Will Jermod McCoy be the 1st Defensive Back (Cornerback or Safety) drafted

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 18 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftdb
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:20:54.113Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 18 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (18 contracts)
- 24h volume: $16K

## Bound contracts (18)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL wins 4-3 | 27¢ | +5pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-orlando-win-4-3-in-the-orlando-vs-detroit-1st-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26orldetr1-orl43 |
| TOR wins 4-3 | 26¢ | +10pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-the-series-outcome-in-the-toronto-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26torcler1-tor43 |
| Non-Championship Event?: 151st Kentucky Derby | 34¢ | +6pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-151st-kentucky-derby-win-the-47th-annual-spor-kalshi-kxsportsemmy-26olssnce-151 |
| Ausar Thompson | 96¢ | ±0 | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-ausar-thompson-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-autho |
| DET wins 4-3 | 72¢ | +22pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-detroit-win-4-3-in-the-orlando-vs-detroit-1st-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26orldetr1-det43 |
| CLE wins 4-3 | 73¢ | +37pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-the-series-outcome-in-the-toronto-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26torcler1-cle43 |
| Bam Adebayo | 7¢ | +2pp | $21 | kalshi | /markets/will-bam-adebayo-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-ba-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-bade |
| Derrick White | 22¢ | −7pp | $20 | kalshi | /markets/will-derrick-white-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-dwhi |
| OG Anunoby | 4¢ | −7pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-og-anunoby-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-bas-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-oanu |
| Scottie Barnes | 61¢ | −11pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-scottie-barnes-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-sbar |
| Rudy Gobert | 94¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-rudy-gobert-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-ba-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-rgob |
| Amen Thompson | 4¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-amen-thompson-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-amtho |
| Ivica Zubac | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ivica-zubac-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-ba-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-izub |
| Donovan Clingan | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-donovan-clingan-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pr-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-dcli |
| Kawhi Leonard | 15¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kawhi-leonard-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-kleo |
| Dyson Daniels | 11¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dyson-daniels-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-ddan |
| Luguentz Dort | 10¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-luguentz-dort-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-ldor |
| Draymond Green | 3¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-draymond-green-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-pro-kalshi-kxnba1stteamdef-26-dgre |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 49 |
| 2026-04-19 | 15 |
| 2026-04-26 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 45 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · CLE wins 4-3 +37pp 34→71¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Scottie Barnes +29pp 40→69¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · DET wins 4-3 +22pp 51→73¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Derrick White −22pp 35→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Derrick White +20pp 21→41¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftdb
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nfldraftdb

## License

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