# Will Chase Bisontis be the 3rd Offensive Lineman (Offensive Tackle, Guard, or Center) drafted

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 17% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftol
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:50.884Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 17% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $135K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Briscoe | 6¢ | −1pp | $78K | kalshi | /markets/will-chase-briscoe-be-the-wrth-400-presented-by-li-kalshi-kxnascarrace-wr4pbl26-chbr |
| Chase Elliott | 7¢ | −3pp | $45K | kalshi | /markets/will-chase-elliott-be-the-wrth-400-presented-by-li-kalshi-kxnascarrace-wr4pbl26-chel |
| Chase Elliott | 34¢ | +10pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-chase-elliott-finish-in-the-top-5-at-nascar-w-kalshi-kxnascartop5-wr4pbl26-chel |
| Chase Briscoe | 5¢ | +1pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-chase-briscoe-be-the-nascar-cup-series-champi-kalshi-kxnascarcupseries-ncs26-cbri |
| Carson Beck | 4¢ | +2pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-carson-beck-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-the-y-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-cbec |
| Chase Elliott | 6¢ | +1pp | $317 | kalshi | /markets/will-chase-elliott-be-the-nascar-cup-series-champi-kalshi-kxnascarcupseries-ncs26-cell |
| Tyrese Maxey | 31¢ | −11pp | $298 | kalshi | /markets/will-tyrese-maxey-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-all-p-kalshi-kxnba3rdteam-26-tmax |
| Chase Briscoe | 50¢ | +6pp | $296 | kalshi | /markets/will-chase-briscoe-finish-in-the-top-10-at-nascar-kalshi-kxnascartop10-wr4pbl26-chbr |
| Makai Lemon | 7¢ | ±0 | $285 | kalshi | /markets/will-makai-lemon-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-the-y-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-mlem |
| Jadarian Price | 10¢ | ±0 | $242 | kalshi | /markets/will-jadarian-price-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-th-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-jpri |
| Jordyn Tyson | 12¢ | +3pp | $221 | kalshi | /markets/will-jordyn-tyson-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-the-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-jtys |
| KC Concepcion | 5¢ | +1pp | $107 | kalshi | /markets/will-kc-concepcion-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-the-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-kcon |
| Xavier Becerra | 11¢ | +2pp | $106 | kalshi | /markets/will-xavier-becerra-finish-3rd-in-the-2026-califor-kalshi-kxcagov3rd-26jun02-3-xbec |
| Eli Stowers | 5¢ | — | $101 | kalshi | /markets/will-eli-stowers-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-the-y-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-esto |
| Fernando Mendoza | 24¢ | +3pp | $100 | kalshi | /markets/will-fernando-mendoza-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-fmen |
| Renan Santos | 23¢ | −2pp | $95 | kalshi | /markets/will-renan-santos-finish-3rd-in-the-first-round-of-kalshi-kxbrpresident3-brpres26-3-rsan |
| Carnell Tate | 13¢ | −1pp | $88 | kalshi | /markets/will-carnell-tate-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-the-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-ctat |
| Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act | 57¢ | ±0 | $5 | kalshi | /markets/will-legislation-that-amends-the-food-and-nutritio-kalshi-kxbills-hrca |
| Jeremiyah Love | 23¢ | ±0 | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-jeremiyah-love-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-th-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-jlov |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 6¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jamarr-chase-win-the-offensive-player-of-the-kalshi-kxnflopoty-27-jcha |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 12 |
| 2026-04-19 | 23 |
| 2026-04-26 | 12 |
| 2026-05-03 | 23 |

_24 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Tyrese Maxey −26pp 60→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act +15pp 41→56¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Chase Elliott −14pp 25→11¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tyrese Maxey −11pp 34→23¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Chase Elliott +10pp 11→21¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftol
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nfldraftol

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.