# Will Francis Mauigoa be drafted by Los Angeles R

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 19% across 19 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftteam
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:21:01.994Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 19% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1.0M

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles L | 3¢ | ±0 | $569K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-los-angeles-l-win-the-2026-pro-basketball-kalshi-kxnba-26-lal |
| Los Angeles L | 3¢ | +1pp | $200K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-los-angeles-l-win-the-2026-pro-basketball-kalshi-kxnbawest-26-lal |
| Spencer Pratt | 24¢ | +2pp | $152K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-win-los-angeles-mayoral-election-spencer-kalshi-kxmayorla-26-spra |
| OKC wins 4-0 | 37¢ | ±0 | $14K | kalshi | /markets/will-oklahoma-city-win-4-0-in-the-los-angeles-l-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26lalokcr2-okc40 |
| Karen Bass | 24¢ | +1pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-win-los-angeles-mayoral-election-karen-ba-kalshi-kxmayorla-26-kbas |
| Los Angeles D | 28¢ | −2pp | $12K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-d-win-the-2026-pro-baseball-champ-kalshi-kxmlb-26-lad |
| OKC wins 4-2 | 19¢ | +2pp | $10K | kalshi | /markets/will-oklahoma-city-win-4-2-in-the-los-angeles-l-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26lalokcr2-okc42 |
| Los Angeles L vs Toronto | 3¢ | — | $8K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-l-vs-toronto-be-the-matchup-in-th-kalshi-kxteamsinnbaf-26-laltor |
| Nithya Raman | 49¢ | −2pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-win-los-angeles-mayoral-election-nithya-r-kalshi-kxmayorla-26-nram |
| Before May 7, 2026 | 5¢ | −4pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/will-luka-doncic-play-in-a-game-for-los-angeles-l-kalshi-kxnbareturn-26lalldon-507 |
| LAL wins 4-3 | 4¢ | ±0 | $8K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-l-win-4-3-in-the-los-angeles-l-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26lalokcr2-lal43 |
| Los Angeles C | 5¢ | — | $6K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-c-win-the-2027-pro-football-champ-kalshi-kxsb-27-lac |
| San Antonio vs Los Angeles L | 5¢ | +1pp | $6K | kalshi | /markets/will-san-antonio-vs-los-angeles-l-be-the-matchup-i-kalshi-kxteamsinnbawf-26-saslal |
| Los Angeles C | 28¢ | +13pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-david-njokus-next-team-los-angeles-c-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26dnjoku-lac |
| Los Angeles L vs New York | 3¢ | +1pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-l-vs-new-york-be-the-matchup-in-t-kalshi-kxteamsinnbaf-26-lalnyk |
| Los Angeles R | 11¢ | +1pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-r-win-the-2027-pro-football-champ-kalshi-kxsb-27-lar |
| Before Jun 20, 2026 | 63¢ | −11pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-luka-doncic-play-in-a-game-for-los-angeles-l-kalshi-kxnbareturn-26lalldon-620 |
| Los Angeles D | 35¢ | −18pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-los-angeles-d-have-the-best-record-in-pro-bas-kalshi-kxmlbbestrecord-26-lad |
| OKC wins 4-3 | 6¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-oklahoma-city-win-4-3-in-the-los-angeles-l-vs-kalshi-kxnbaseriesscore-26lalokcr2-okc43 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 36 |
| 2026-04-19 | 25 |
| 2026-04-26 | 22 |
| 2026-05-03 | 20 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-27 · Before Jun 20, 2026 +30pp 3→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-29 · Before May 7, 2026 −20pp 33→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Los Angeles C +18pp 2→20¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Los Angeles D −18pp 46→28¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Before Jun 20, 2026 +17pp 33→50¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftteam
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nfldraftteam

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.