# Will Omar Cooper Jr. be the 3rd Wide Receiver drafted

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 19 contracts — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftwr
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:20:50.652Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $40K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 6¢ | +1pp | $39K | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-j-trump-jr-be-the-nominee-for-the-pres-kalshi-kxpresnomr-28-djtjr |
| Tyrese Maxey | 31¢ | −11pp | $298 | kalshi | /markets/will-tyrese-maxey-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-all-p-kalshi-kxnba3rdteam-26-tmax |
| Will Anderson Jr. | 8¢ | −4pp | $241 | kalshi | /markets/will-will-anderson-jr-win-the-defensive-player-of-kalshi-kxnfldpoty-27-wand |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 17¢ | +4pp | $212 | kalshi | /markets/will-rueben-bain-jr-win-the-defensive-rookie-of-th-kalshi-kxnfldroty-27-rbai |
| Xavier Becerra | 11¢ | +2pp | $106 | kalshi | /markets/will-xavier-becerra-finish-3rd-in-the-2026-califor-kalshi-kxcagov3rd-26jun02-3-xbec |
| Renan Santos | 24¢ | −2pp | $95 | kalshi | /markets/will-renan-santos-finish-3rd-in-the-first-round-of-kalshi-kxbrpresident3-brpres26-3-rsan |
| Roy Cooper | 85¢ | −1pp | $40 | kalshi | /markets/will-democratics-win-the-senate-race-in-north-caro-kalshi-senatenc-26-d |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 10¢ | +2pp | $30 | kalshi | /markets/will-vladimir-guerrero-jr-lead-pro-baseball-in-bat-kalshi-kxleadermlbavg-26-vgue |
| Tom Steyer | 25¢ | +3pp | $18 | kalshi | /markets/will-tom-steyer-finish-3rd-in-the-2026-california-kalshi-kxcagov3rd-26jun02-3-tste |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 29¢ | +2pp | $7 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-run-for-the-republican-presidential-nomin-kalshi-kx2028rrun-28-djtjr |
| Jalen Duren | 74¢ | ±0 | $3 | kalshi | /markets/will-jalen-duren-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-all-pr-kalshi-kxnba3rdteam-26-jdur |
| Robert Menendez Jr. | 85¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-robert-menendez-jr-be-the-democratic-nominee-kalshi-kxnjprimary-08d26-rmen |
| Yes | 36¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-alex-cooper-and-alix-earle-be-seen-together-i-kalshi-kxpersonpublicculture-27jan01 |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-omar-cooper-jr-win-the-offensive-rookie-of-th-kalshi-kxnfloroty-27-ocoo |
| Luka Doncic | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-luka-doncic-be-selected-to-the-2025-26-all-pr-kalshi-kxnba3rdteam-26-ldon |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | 75¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-marvin-harrison-jr-lead-pro-football-in-recei-kalshi-kxleadernflryds-27-mharrison18 |
| Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio | 3¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-donald-trump-jr-and-marco-rubio-be-the-2028-r-kalshi-kxrticket-28nov07-dtjrmrub |
| any 3rd Amendment case | 5¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/what-cases-will-the-supreme-court-agree-to-hear-be-kalshi-kxscotuscert3rd-29jan-3rd |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 17¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ronaldo-caiado-finish-3rd-in-the-first-round-kalshi-kxbrpresident3-brpres26-3-rcai |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 22 |
| 2026-04-19 | 48 |
| 2026-04-26 | 30 |
| 2026-05-03 | 23 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-26 · Robert Menendez Jr. +52pp 21→73¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Tyrese Maxey −26pp 60→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tyrese Maxey −11pp 34→23¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Tom Steyer +8pp 15→23¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Robert Menendez Jr. +6pp 77→83¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfldraftwr
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nfldraftwr

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.