# Will Myles Garrett be Top 25 on the Pro Football Top 100 List

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 50% across 16 contracts — refreshed 42 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nflt100top
Updated: 2026-07-13T02:20:51.731Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-09-09

## Headline

- Probability: 50% (liquidity-weighted across 16 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 55¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lamar-jackson-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-to-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-ljackson8 |
| Drake Maye | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-maye-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-top-1-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-dmaye10 |
| Penei Sewell | 15¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-penei-sewell-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-top-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-psewell58 |
| Myles Garrett | 80¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-myles-garrett-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-to-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-mgarrett95 |
| Matthew Stafford | 61¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-matthew-stafford-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-mstafford9 |
| Justin Jefferson | 60¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-justin-jefferson-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-jjefferson18 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 53¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jaxon-smith-njigba-be-top-5-on-the-pro-footba-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-jsmithnjigba11 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 50¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jahmyr-gibbs-be-top-5-on-the-pro-football-top-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t5-jgibbs0 |
| Myles Garrett | 90¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-myles-garrett-be-top-25-on-the-pro-football-t-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t25-mgarrett95 |
| Matthew Stafford | 85¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-matthew-stafford-be-top-25-on-the-pro-footbal-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t25-mstafford9 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jamarr-chase-be-top-25-on-the-pro-football-to-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t25-jchase1 |
| Pat Surtain II | 10¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-pat-surtain-ii-be-top-25-on-the-pro-football-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t25-psurtain2 |
| Bijan Robinson | 66¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-bijan-robinson-be-top-25-on-the-pro-football-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t25-brobinson7 |
| Josh Allen | 70¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-josh-allen-be-top-10-on-the-pro-football-top-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t10-jallen17 |
| Drake Maye | 8¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-drake-maye-be-top-10-on-the-pro-football-top-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t10-dmaye10 |
| Myles Garrett | 80¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-myles-garrett-be-top-10-on-the-pro-football-t-kalshi-kxnflt100top-26t10-mgarrett95 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | 2 |
| 2026-06-29 | 80 |

_10 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that Myles Garrett will rank between 1st and 25th on the NFL's annual Pro Football Top 100 list, voted by players. Garrett's inclusion in the top 25 hinges primarily on his 2025 season performance and how voters perceive his defensive impact relative to other elite pass rushers and defenders. Related markets suggest stronger confidence in a top-10 placement (50¢) compared to top-25 (36¢), indicating some uncertainty about whether he performs at an elite enough level to secure recognition among the league's best. The list typically releases in summer, making recent performance data and playoff success key inputs for voter consideration.

### Key factors

- Garrett's 2025 regular season sack total and pressure statistics compared to other elite defensive ends
- His health status heading into the 2025 season following any prior injuries
- Historical voting patterns showing typical threshold for top-25 inclusion at his defensive position
- Recent playoff performance and standout moments that might influence player voters
- Competitive field of edge rushers and defensive linemen potentially competing for similar ranking slots

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nflt100top
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nflt100top

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