# Will Detroit be the highest scoring team

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 13% across 8 contracts — refreshed 14 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nflteampts
Updated: 2026-09-21T23:20:52.892Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-18

## Headline

- Probability: 13% (liquidity-weighted across 8 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $650

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 31¢ | −3pp | $463 | kalshi | /markets/will-chicago-be-the-highest-scoring-team-chicago-kalshi-kxnflteampts-most27-chi |
| Atlanta | 4¢ | +1pp | $111 | kalshi | /markets/will-atlanta-be-the-lowest-scoring-team-atlanta-kalshi-kxnflteampts-least27-atl |
| Miami | 25¢ | +3pp | $42 | kalshi | /markets/will-miami-be-the-lowest-scoring-team-miami-kalshi-kxnflteampts-least27-mia |
| Dallas | 5¢ | −5pp | $25 | kalshi | /markets/will-dallas-be-the-highest-scoring-team-dallas-kalshi-kxnflteampts-most27-dal |
| Cleveland | 24¢ | +1pp | $9 | kalshi | /markets/will-cleveland-be-the-lowest-scoring-team-clevelan-kalshi-kxnflteampts-least27-cle |
| Baltimore | 4¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-baltimore-be-the-highest-scoring-team-baltimo-kalshi-kxnflteampts-most27-bal |
| Cincinnati | 3¢ | −5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-cincinnati-be-the-highest-scoring-team-cincin-kalshi-kxnflteampts-most27-cin |
| Detroit | 7¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-detroit-be-the-highest-scoring-team-detroit-kalshi-kxnflteampts-most27-det |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | 14 |
| 2026-09-07 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | 9 |
| 2026-09-19 | 15 |

_23 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-09-17 · Chicago +20pp 14→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-09-17 · Dallas −5pp 10→5¢ · kalshi
- 2026-09-17 · Cincinnati −5pp 8→3¢ · kalshi
- 2026-09-18 · Chicago −3pp 34→31¢ · kalshi
- 2026-09-19 · Miami +3pp 22→25¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability indicates a 39% chance that Detroit will score more points than all other teams in the relevant competition. The current level reflects Detroit's recent offensive output compared to competitors like Cincinnati (40% probability), New England (85% probability), and Atlanta (25% probability). Detroit's scoring probability would increase if recent games show offensive improvement or if key players return to full health, and would decrease if competing teams demonstrate stronger offensive performance. The resolution will depend on actual scoring data from upcoming games, with the specific event date and final matchup determining which team ultimately achieves the highest total.

### Key factors

- Detroit's current point-per-game average compared to Cincinnati, New England, and Atlanta across the most recent comparable period
- Roster availability and injury status of Detroit's key offensive players versus competitors
- Head-to-head offensive efficiency metrics and recent offensive trends for all four teams
- New England's substantially higher probability (85%) suggests significant offensive advantages that would need to shift for Detroit to become the highest scorer
- The contract pricing spread reflects market confidence levels, with Detroit at 5¢ versus New England at 85¢ indicating substantial perceived differences in scoring capability

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nflteampts
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nflteampts

## License

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