# The Dallas Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 4% across 20 contracts — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfltspec
Updated: 2026-08-10T07:20:50.076Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-25

## Headline

- Probability: 4% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $160

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen records 100+ rushing yards in a single game | 9¢ | +7pp | $100 | kalshi | /markets/josh-allen-records-100-rushing-yards-in-a-single-g-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27buf-jallen17ry100 |
| Kyren Williams records 175+ rushing yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $19 | kalshi | /markets/kyren-williams-records-175-rushing-yards-in-a-sing-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27lar-kwilliams23ruy175 |
| J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $16 | kalshi | /markets/jj-mccarthy-records-3-passing-touchdowns-in-a-sing-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27min-jmccarthy9ptd3 |
| Saquon Barkley records 225+ rushing yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $14 | kalshi | /markets/saquon-barkley-records-225-rushing-yards-in-a-sing-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27phi-sbarkley26ruy225 |
| De'Von Achane records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 21¢ | ±0 | $10 | kalshi | /markets/devon-achane-records-75-rushing-yards-and-75-recei-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27mia-dachane28r75r75 |
| Carson Beck records 1000+ passing yards | 5¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/carson-beck-records-1000-passing-yards-carson-beck-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-cbeckqbpy1000 |
| Jeremiyah Love records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jeremiyah-love-records-75-rushing-yards-and-75-rec-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-jlove4r75r75 |
| Jeremiyah Love records 175+ rushing yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jeremiyah-love-records-175-rushing-yards-in-a-sing-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-jlove4ruy175 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. records 200+ receiving yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/marvin-harrison-jr-records-200-receiving-yards-in-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-mharrison18ry200 |
| Michael Wilson records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/michael-wilson-records-150-receiving-yards-in-a-si-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-mwilson14ry150 |
| Arizona allow 0 points in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/the-arizona-pro-football-team-allow-0-points-in-a-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-pts0 |
| Arizona throw for 400+ yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/the-arizona-pro-football-team-throw-for-400-yards-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-py400 |
| Arizona records 8+ sacks in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/the-arizona-pro-football-team-records-8-sacks-in-a-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-sack8 |
| Trey McBride scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/trey-mcbride-scores-3-touchdowns-in-a-single-game-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27ari-tmcbride85td3 |
| Bijan Robinson records 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bijan-robinson-records-100-rushing-yards-and-100-r-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27atl-brobinson7r100r100 |
| Bijan Robinson records 225+ rushing yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bijan-robinson-records-225-rushing-yards-in-a-sing-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27atl-brobinson7ruy225 |
| Bijan Robinson scores 4+ touchdowns in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/bijan-robinson-scores-4-touchdowns-in-a-single-gam-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27atl-brobinson7td4 |
| Drake London records 200+ receiving yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/drake-london-records-200-receiving-yards-in-a-sing-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27atl-dlondon5ry200 |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/kyle-pitts-sr-records-150-receiving-yards-in-a-sin-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27atl-kpitts8ry150 |
| Atlanta allow 0 points in a single game | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/the-atlanta-pro-football-team-allow-0-points-in-a-kalshi-kxnfltspec-27atl-pts0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | 21 |
| 2026-08-03 | 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | 17 |

_13 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-08-03 · Bijan Robinson records 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a single game −31pp 34→3¢ · kalshi
- 2026-08-10 · Josh Allen records 100+ rushing yards in a single game +7pp 5→12¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability represents the odds that the Dallas Cowboys hold their opponent to zero points in a single game during the 2026 NFL season. A shutout is an extremely rare defensive outcome in modern football, occurring roughly once per season across all 32 teams. The current 15% probability reflects both the historical rarity of shutouts and the Cowboys' defensive capabilities relative to offensive strength across the league. The probability would shift based on the quality of opposing offenses faced and the Cowboys' defensive performance as the season progresses. Uncertainty resolves throughout the 2026 season as games are played, with the outcome determined once either a shutout occurs or the season concludes without one.

### Key factors

- Shutouts occurred in approximately 4-8 games per NFL season historically, making zero points in a single game an extremely low-probability event statistically
- The Dallas Cowboys' defensive ranking and ability to stop elite offensive weapons significantly influences whether this outcome is achievable
- Schedule strength matters substantially—facing weak offenses early in the season increases shutout probability compared to facing playoff-caliber teams
- Defensive injuries, particularly to key pass rushers or secondary players, would reduce the likelihood of achieving total offensive suppression
- Weather conditions and game location can affect both offensive execution and defensive effectiveness in a single game

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nfltspec
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nfltspec

## License

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