# Adrian Kempe: 3+ points

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 35% across 10 contracts — refreshed 6 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nhlpts
Updated: 2026-05-08T21:35:13.005Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 35% (liquidity-weighted across 10 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (10 contracts)
- 24h volume: $194
- Resolved: 1+ points: Beckett Sennecke: 1+

## Bound contracts (10)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ points: Jackson LaCombe: 2+ | 4¢ | — | $143 | kalshi | /markets/jackson-lacombe-2-points-jackson-lacombe-2-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anajlacombe2-2 |
| 1+ points: Cutter Gauthier: 1+ | 51¢ | — | $34 | kalshi | /markets/cutter-gauthier-1-points-cutter-gauthier-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anacgauthier61-1 |
| 1+ points: Jackson LaCombe: 1+ | 49¢ | — | $17 | kalshi | /markets/jackson-lacombe-1-points-jackson-lacombe-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anajlacombe2-1 |
| 1+ points: Alex Killorn: 1+ | 41¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/alex-killorn-1-points-alex-killorn-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anaakillorn17-1 |
| 1+ points: Beckett Sennecke: 1+ | 35¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/beckett-sennecke-1-points-beckett-sennecke-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anabsennecke45-1 |
| 1+ points: Chris Kreider: 1+ | 43¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/chris-kreider-1-points-chris-kreider-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anackreider20-1 |
| 2+ points: Cutter Gauthier: 2+ | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/cutter-gauthier-2-points-cutter-gauthier-2-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-anacgauthier61-2 |
| 1+ points: Ivan Barbashev: 1+ | 44¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/ivan-barbashev-1-points-ivan-barbashev-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-vgkibarbashev49-1 |
| 1+ points: Jack Eichel: 1+ | 64¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jack-eichel-1-points-jack-eichel-1-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-vgkjeichel9-1 |
| 2+ points: Jack Eichel: 2+ | 17¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/jack-eichel-2-points-jack-eichel-2-kalshi-kxnhlpts-26may08vgkana-vgkjeichel9-2 |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nhlpts
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nhlpts

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.