# NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nj07-democratic-primary-winner
Updated: 2026-06-04T01:20:12.748Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-02

## Headline

- Leader: Rebecca Bennett at 95%
- Runner-up: Brian Varela at 3%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $811

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett | 95¢ | +2pp | $811 | polymarket | /markets/nj-07-democratic-primary-winner-rebecca-bennett-polymarket-0xd406b9c3f7ca699cace58895b21f347f305a6189d2e40320d555bff5a347b0b1 |
| Brian Varela | 3¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nj-07-democratic-primary-winner-brian-varela-polymarket-0x4ae0b84027b1613cef79e1751bd5880b0cf1742c80efcfd155e8e4ce804b438f |
| Tina Shah | 3¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/nj-07-democratic-primary-winner-tina-shah-polymarket-0xeef9abd3eef1405e4085e9244788bdfdedbd4682e069ae2ce8bff68e086d5a2e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Rebecca Bennett | Brian Varela | Tina Shah |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | 80 | — | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 | 83 | 31 | 5 |
| 2026-05-25 | 92 | 4 | 3 |
| 2026-06-01 | 95 | 4 | 3 |
| 2026-06-03 | 99 | 1 | 0 |

_19 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nj07-democratic-primary-winner
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nj07-democratic-primary-winner
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.