# NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Boston Legacy FC - More Markets: NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5)

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/njny-gotham-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets-njny-gotham
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:20:14.662Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5) at 45%
- Runner-up: NJ/NY Gotham FC (-2.5) at 17%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5) | 45¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/njny-gotham-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets-nj-polymarket-0xd03447aa6c92fc02cf6042666b3efd7d031fce1a7b1ca5bbb960e2de6fbf6423 |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (-2.5) | 17¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/njny-gotham-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets-nj-polymarket-0xb57d21e8708b6b4c14c26bb35cda5d28084f05d8c496d7ce1bb04f3856f354e2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5) | NJ/NY Gotham FC (-2.5) |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 31 | 27 |
| 2026-05-07 | 37 | 30 |
| 2026-05-08 | 43 | 34 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5) +6pp 31→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5) +6pp 37→43¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (-2.5) +4pp 30→34¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (-2.5) +3pp 27→30¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that NJ/NY Gotham FC will win by more than 1.5 goals against Boston Legacy FC. At 32%, traders are assigning this outcome less than one-third likelihood, suggesting the baseline expectation favors either a closer Gotham victory or a Boston win entirely. The probability is driven primarily by the teams' recent form, roster strength, and head-to-head dynamics. Home-field advantage, injury status of key players, and Boston's defensive capabilities would be the main factors determining whether this spread outcome becomes more or less likely. The match result itself—once played—will definitively resolve this contract, making actual game performance the sole determining factor.

### Key factors

- Gotham's goal-scoring efficiency and Boston's defensive record this season
- Whether the match is played at Gotham's home venue versus neutral or Boston's location
- Injury or roster availability status of each team's starting forwards and defensive players
- Historical head-to-head scoring margins between these two teams
- Current league standings and momentum indicators as of the match date

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/njny-gotham-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets-njny-gotham
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=njny-gotham-fc-vs-boston-legacy-fc-more-markets-njny-gotham

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