# NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Racing Louisville FC - More Markets: NJ/NY Gotham FC (-1.5)

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 35% across 19 contracts — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/njny-gotham-fc-vs-racing-louisville-fc-more-markets-njny
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:20:27.958Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 35% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 15% / Polymarket 38% — 23pp spread
- 24h volume: $597

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 32¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| Racing Louisville | 12¢ | +3pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/gotham-vs-racing-louisville-winner-racing-louisvil-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03gotrac-rac |
| Gotham | 22¢ | +1pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/gotham-vs-racing-louisville-winner-gotham-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03gotrac-got |
| Both Teams to Score | 54¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xd61678fa4fcefd059e3ba900fe3e6fea3c2fc0339c7dc74dc06327cafaefcc29 |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x9bdf90f99d362aeb78ea9a8c83a91588de737a96a2b6ef02f29aaab646ee2be9 |
| Tie | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gotham-vs-racing-louisville-winner-tie-kalshi-kxnwslgame-26may03gotrac-tie |
| Racing Club (-1.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-racing-clu-polymarket-0xc988a4434c1b06d250ae5edd9945b7d6f9a0a6027145f8c268ec1f6b992e7704 |
| Racing Club (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-racing-clu-polymarket-0x15e436257d2a94c17744fc777abb55ec9373f67f1587cd55fa8a7f6c22a084a3 |
| Botafogo FR (-2.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-botafogo-f-polymarket-0x50a3e558463a15a07f4a2cf28e50c9f22ed79f5575401475ea57e33d93a4ff1a |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x32d4ab3bd3997a305ae20a572bdf97c7dcabb1f001475fb23cd632c4697e3c4b |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x5c8e4184d6f4024ab811a8317c5df79cc5beca815221eaca6fae9d323d39b6f1 |
| Botafogo FR (-1.5) | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-botafogo-f-polymarket-0xd6abb87ba0ae1a681305a13dbb470174bb33f26fe69013668ac49d89df162411 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/botafogo-fr-vs-racing-club-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc91f8e08309e1027dabc6b2cda81f406f89051e264358b7bd9aea303ff73fc4a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 5 |
| 2026-05-01 | 40 |
| 2026-05-02 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 30 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 63→66¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Racing Louisville +3pp 6→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Gotham +3pp 5→8¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tie +3pp 6→9¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/njny-gotham-fc-vs-racing-louisville-fc-more-markets-njny
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=njny-gotham-fc-vs-racing-louisville-fc-more-markets-njny

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.