# North Carolina Courage vs. Kansas City Current

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 35% across 19 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/north-carolina-courage-vs-kansas-city-current
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:31.279Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 35% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 37% / Polymarket 7% — 30pp spread
- 24h volume: $54K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 53¢ | −1pp | $20K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-winner-seattle-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may031610kcsea-sea |
| Kansas City | 47¢ | +1pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-winner-kansas-city-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may031610kcsea-kc |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7¢ | −1pp | $6K | polymarket | /markets/nfl-champion-2027-kansas-city-chiefs-polymarket-0xee307e0609e90bd64e7bb75135662091ff438b043031d79337a67b4d1f54763d |
| Virginia | 41¢ | +2pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/north-carolina-vs-virginia-winner-virginia-kalshi-kxncaamlaxgame-26may03nctvir-vir |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 52¢ | +3pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-75-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-8 |
| North Carolina | 7¢ | −2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-north-carolina-win-the-college-baseball-world-kalshi-kxncaabaseball-26-unc |
| Kansas City | 38¢ | −1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-tyreek-hills-next-team-kansas-city-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26thill-kc |
| Yes | 45¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-first-inning-run-yes-kalshi-kxmlbrfi-26may031610kcsea |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 44¢ | — | $798 | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-85-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-9 |
| Kansas City | 6¢ | — | $733 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-2027-pro-football-champio-kalshi-kxsb-27-kc |
| Justin Fields | 32¢ | −22pp | $612 | kalshi | /markets/will-justin-fields-be-starting-quarterback-for-kan-kalshi-kxstartingqbweek1-w1-26sep15-kc-jfie |
| Kansas City | 13¢ | — | $602 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-champion-kalshi-kxnflafcchamp-27-kc |
| Patrick Mahomes | 62¢ | +26pp | $549 | kalshi | /markets/will-patrick-mahomes-be-starting-quarterback-for-k-kalshi-kxstartingqbweek1-w1-26sep15-kc-pmah |
| North Carolina | 60¢ | +5pp | $525 | kalshi | /markets/north-carolina-vs-virginia-winner-north-carolina-kalshi-kxncaamlaxgame-26may03nctvir-nct |
| Zero Tenacity | 16¢ | +3pp | $341 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-z10 |
| Republicans, 1+ pts | 11¢ | −2pp | $75 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsenr-p1 |
| Yes | 64¢ | ±0 | $23 | kalshi | /markets/will-democrats-win-the-2026-senate-elections-in-ge-kalshi-kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03 |
| Zero Tenacity | 23¢ | +2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-map-2-in-the-zero-tenacity-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-2-z10 |
| Democrats, 9+ pts | 51¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p9 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 40 |
| 2026-04-19 | 34 |
| 2026-04-26 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Patrick Mahomes +26pp 35→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Patrick Mahomes −25pp 38→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Justin Fields −22pp 53→31¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Kansas City Chiefs +14pp 6→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-27 · Kansas City −13pp 47→34¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/north-carolina-courage-vs-kansas-city-current
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=north-carolina-courage-vs-kansas-city-current

## License

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