# Norwich City FC vs. Swansea City AFC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 30% across 20 contracts — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/norwich-city-fc-vs-swansea-city-afc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:35:20.547Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 30% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 33% / Polymarket 29% — 4pp spread
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 13¢ | — | $602 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-champion-kalshi-kxnflafcchamp-27-kc |
| Zero Tenacity | 16¢ | +3pp | $341 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-z10 |
| Nigma Galaxy | 82¢ | ±0 | $158 | kalshi | /markets/will-nigma-galaxy-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-g-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-ngx |
| Kansas City | 33¢ | +1pp | $101 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-west-div-kalshi-kxnflafcwest-27-kc |
| Zero Tenacity | 23¢ | +2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-map-2-in-the-zero-tenacity-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-2-z10 |
| Montevideo City Torque (-1.5) | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0xfaa73be2b11ae7d806023270902078ff23e1be224683c62251f3a14cb90037c0 |
| CD Palestino (-1.5) | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0x3516b5b692799f11ea507798ed69b2a3ad09fca6d85fd504f5ee9b896d713b92 |
| CD Palestino (-2.5) | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-more-market-polymarket-0x37575267f8050091ae4fc04e3e74d00b82268068d648650350fd596fd199c57c |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x0e25b551a118495f7e2c433fd68e6e53fcf38d6641d1723c648e6161691a6674 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x087e96b348af724088fc5c0c9620932971bbee21079bd0619bac94f9d8554031 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x53fd8b923d5e1f12a9478a352cefc4d33c01ca82e35715c6cd4740834b1fa3a0 |
| CD Palestino | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/montevideo-city-torque-vs-cd-palestino-cd-palestin-polymarket-0x3299d6bee2481093d7ef9a78adeadd03771f46740c1e9780b2881d52ab08ce11 |
| Tochigi City FC | 45¢ | −16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-tochigi-city-fc-polymarket-0x2031740085ebc05d9a09dcbbd2271fa79045d7d10bc8224b9820b31d8f4acc92 |
| Mumbai City FC | 33¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-mumbai-city-fc-polymarket-0xffedbd8c917d9b7a7b06028e7f1a6bc917997dc650dab42570216778620ba322 |
| East Bengal FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/mumbai-city-fc-vs-east-bengal-fc-more-markets-east-polymarket-0x1ef468ee3081d30662507065ce715a91db79b15ca6d9b4751e4f518e347d3cd4 |
| Zero Tenacity | 34¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-rekonix-vs-zero-tenacit-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may040500rnxz10-z10 |
| New York City FC (-1.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/new-york-city-fc-vs-los-angeles-fc-more-markets-ne-polymarket-0x52ecc53ae751a4a04406a38d2eae3d0bb5c00a4010daf306acb60d6c2f391539 |
| Swansea City | 3¢ | −5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-swansea-city-be-promoted-from-the-efl-champio-kalshi-kxeflpromo-26-swa |
| REKONIX | 57¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-rekonix-win-the-rekonix-vs-zero-tenacity-dota-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may040500rnxz10-rnx |
| Yokohama FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x63f37e77be6ee67b7a2136a946b8e213b3e172b4af30e83a2706e476c714c527 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 34 |
| 2026-04-22 | 34 |
| 2026-04-26 | 5 |
| 2026-05-03 | 36 |

_10 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi City FC −16pp 50→34¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Zero Tenacity +10pp 12→22¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Nigma Galaxy +9pp 70→79¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Swansea City −5pp 10→5¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Yokohama FC (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/norwich-city-fc-vs-swansea-city-afc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=norwich-city-fc-vs-swansea-city-afc

## License

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