# Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 10 in Apr 2026

> At least 1 leads at 75%, runner-up 49% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nythead
Updated: 2026-05-03T20:05:51.963Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: At least 1 at 75%
- Runner-up: At least 2 at 49%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 75¢ | +2pp | $537 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-full-width-new-york-times-front-kalshi-kxnythead-26may-t1 |
| At least 2 | 49¢ | +2pp | $475 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-full-width-new-york-times-front-kalshi-kxnythead-26may-t2 |
| At least 3 | 18¢ | −3pp | $32 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-full-width-new-york-times-front-kalshi-kxnythead-26may-t3 |
| At least 5 | 13¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-full-width-new-york-times-front-kalshi-kxnythead-26may-t5 |
| At least 10 | 4¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-full-width-new-york-times-front-kalshi-kxnythead-26may-t10 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | At least 1 | At least 2 | At least 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 73 | 48 | 18 |
| 2026-05-02 | 79 | 50 | 21 |
| 2026-05-03 | 81 | — | 18 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · At least 1 +6pp 73→79¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · At least 3 +3pp 18→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · At least 3 −3pp 21→18¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/nythead
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=nythead

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.