# Odisha FC vs. Bengaluru FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 75%, runner-up 55% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:05:57.456Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 75%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 55%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 75¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x23e3ab447bc4179efd9820bb826086b528accae25c840d888843c76ef34524e9 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xbf1c11238eb2e3bfcf0c626cbc0ecd7ff6d8662f77bb591f7218c29165b734bb |
| O/U 2.5 | 51¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x0ab91417e6a3f67ec56c21d9ad0fe3cb5886c3c9454415a4d6a399aa0823d9e7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x5d3acd6c634b5d3a1d8a599ea45753319a7aa968679e2eb81403971373935cd0 |
| Bengaluru FC (-1.5) | 20¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-bengaluru-f-polymarket-0x228300239bef5079799087f3a5cdb844e6c2abd628ad060621fb45f2d553f14f |
| Bengaluru FC (-2.5) | 14¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-bengaluru-f-polymarket-0xe0546559b88aa2f30c96a39c8dfb7fd2d2c8cb0eac5eaf61c3ea863e3a17ba9e |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xb475221bb08e4d37fe6ff0b6b3a3b726252f925e3fd63da8e16e24326913de72 |
| Odisha FC (-1.5) | 12¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-odisha-fc-1-polymarket-0xce6fed71177466d7f1af99b88362c7322dc86cb29884885d52b5b9a9a242a56c |
| Odisha FC (-2.5) | 10¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets-odisha-fc-2-polymarket-0xee87a5b4eac4806aecc1b14a576fda794ac8889540f5e06729617155319cb6e3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 65 | 52 | — |
| 2026-05-01 | — | 51 | 53 |
| 2026-05-02 | 65 | 50 | 50 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 50 | 49 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Bengaluru FC (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Odisha FC (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −3pp 53→50¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 4.5 +3pp 31→34¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This probability reflects the likelihood that Odisha FC defeats Bengaluru FC in an upcoming Indian Super League match. The 51% probability indicates a near-toss-up favoring Odisha, derived from five separate prediction contracts on Polymarket with significant disagreement—the leading estimate stands at 51% while runner-up contracts show 38%. Home-field advantage, recent team form, and player availability typically drive such matchups. The outcome resolves upon final match result. Key variables include each team's current league position, head-to-head historical performance, injury status of key players, and recent scoring trends. Liquidity remains moderate across contracts, with 24-hour volumes ranging from $52 to $327, suggesting active but not consensus pricing.

### Key factors

- Odisha FC's current league standing and points differential compared to Bengaluru FC heading into the fixture
- Win-loss records and goal differential for both teams over their last 5–10 matches prior to kickoff
- Confirmed player absences or injuries affecting either team's starting lineup or squad depth
- Historical head-to-head results between these two clubs and venue-specific performance (home vs. away)
- Market disagreement: 51% leader vs. 38% runner-up indicates material pricing divergence that resolves upon match completion

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=odisha-fc-vs-bengaluru-fc-more-markets

## License

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