# Once Caldas vs. Atlético Nacional

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 20 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/once-caldas-vs-atltico-nacional
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:36:04.649Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x6495f74913a1a4b90a71658c3d5837f174b49dc8078a1de854d3a922b5cf7b3b |
| CD Tolima (-1.5) | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0x404209171166b118cf63d3e3f1f1a4cca653dcbd737f4286da40654005230d40 |
| CD Tolima (-2.5) | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xe39b53cc6e56ef3b794d56089bd9c423d93cd45ea17ab97da86fb771480be126 |
| Club Nacional de Football (-2.5) | 7¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xbb148bed811390380b0e78496c32b55114ad30d56a12ecc4a2ea600300b8bc47 |
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xfdd357904976eecb735dafdc4290a16944355e04fb579a734bc6b4a10cd399cb |
| Both Teams to Score | 45¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xcc83d19bb81e566ab17d083cfe0197824ede59e29dc065407eecb5fc378ec4a4 |
| O/U 3.5 | 21¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xdd5582bfba78c459746737cc153c3e700125883fb2ad744915f0a37a374ea4ed |
| O/U 4.5 | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xbb6532dcc365610777d9f19af2a256a8ad05cf7bc8dd28606aebebe8a1579186 |
| América de Cali (-1.5) | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x96b339448e2986f241a96c14108ee4882a3e471bd1e64e048d17a082d584c2ac |
| Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0xef168aefd79cbbda7b27be016b39d5e1c4c00b34492e99b88123be7ebd64e777 |
| América de Cali (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x29a631a118c304d9cd4c919646fb54d45266be29a87088c2c62e2d6a2a6fe20d |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x8233314001b038e0e888d37b20465004fc6edd2db9d6d8c4e3f49e6da1e5d919 |
| O/U 3.5 | 21¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x80dc4f3600db75e1be65545303e7dcf8b6f91d734dc1daa124c381e2774aa83e |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x5d229ce3aa57b88d33abcde3ae9544dec0dcc8631bb70ee879174824ce23d749 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0xfab9acba8faba56c1dd787262479842e2e72ae28d4c0884ed5c92b5ea94ea061 |
| Winner: Once Caldas | 50¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/colombia-primera-a-winner-once-caldas-polymarket-0xbc54c99ad6d5302b67440c1e2e9a388f29aa30081e5d75f4adf6ae772ed6aa16 |
| Club Nacional de Football (-1.5) | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cd-tolima-vs-club-nacional-de-football-more-market-polymarket-0xa229d814c0cfd5d1b08fe3cb257ef751317a948c8282b05e9b5abbd46ef4a31e |
| Club Alianza Atlético (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0x3f614366905f80462f462ae2015d4e9100b8814288110b459933faa0313d9432 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-more-market-polymarket-0xf11ea279e98fe97d6a7db3b810eefbb096a00bb962710385f2c4592145284b49 |
| América de Cali | 40¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/club-alianza-atltico-vs-amrica-de-cali-amrica-de-c-polymarket-0x434862ae5cd66453da2a5706c4b20c83a0e8ed9275af863bf21a8eee05dd9046 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 48 |
| 2026-04-26 | 47 |
| 2026-05-03 | 30 |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-28 · Winner: Once Caldas +3pp 47→50¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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## License

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