# Orlando Pride vs. Washington Spirit - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 28% across 2 contracts — refreshed 12 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/orlando-pride-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T08:05:31.185Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-05-19

## Headline

- Probability: 28% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 27% / Polymarket 28% — 1pp spread
- 24h volume: $255

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricia Pridemore | 27¢ | +1pp | $131 | kalshi | /markets/will-tricia-pridemore-be-the-republican-nominee-fo-kalshi-kxgaprimary-11r26-tpri |
| Tricia Pridemore | 28¢ | +7pp | $124 | polymarket | /markets/ga-11-republican-primary-winner-tricia-pridemore-polymarket-0x939d6122129c4948b4fc80becf911909c472a04b60e445139d602b25b167de1b |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 52 |
| 2026-04-25 | 31 |
| 2026-05-02 | 31 |
| 2026-05-09 | 29 |

_29 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tricia Pridemore +14pp 31→45¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Tricia Pridemore −8pp 45→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Tricia Pridemore −8pp 37→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Tricia Pridemore +7pp 23→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Tricia Pridemore −6pp 29→23¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/orlando-pride-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=orlando-pride-vs-washington-spirit-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.