# Will Latin win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 43% across 17 contracts — refreshed 33 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/otdbasketball
Updated: 2026-05-29T23:20:08.520Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-14

## Headline

- Probability: 43% (liquidity-weighted across 17 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (17 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (17)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyon | 58¢ | +41pp | $829 | kalshi | /markets/will-keyon-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-sca-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30keyoscar-keyo |
| Nas + Dooley | 56¢ | +4pp | $487 | kalshi | /markets/will-nas-dooley-win-the-off-the-dribble-2v2-betwee-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30kegrnado-nado |
| Tello | 77¢ | +6pp | $450 | kalshi | /markets/will-tello-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-tel-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30patttell-tell |
| Bijan | 57¢ | +4pp | $253 | kalshi | /markets/will-bijan-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-bij-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30reesbija-bija |
| Latin | 29¢ | +26pp | $163 | kalshi | /markets/will-latin-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1v1-king-of-t-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30moonnesclati-lati |
| Patt | 20¢ | −8pp | $160 | kalshi | /markets/will-patt-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-tell-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30patttell-patt |
| Moon | 29¢ | +26pp | $140 | kalshi | /markets/will-moon-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1v1-between-ne-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30moonnesclati-moon |
| Rob Colon + Lamar Peters | 48¢ | −1pp | $89 | kalshi | /markets/will-rob-colon-lamar-peters-win-the-off-the-dribbl-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30rolazaun-rola |
| Reese | 38¢ | −1pp | $78 | kalshi | /markets/will-reese-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-bij-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30reesbija-rees |
| Bruce | 48¢ | +1pp | $40 | kalshi | /markets/will-bruce-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-bru-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30dbabbruc-bruc |
| Scar | 35¢ | −5pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/will-scar-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-scar-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30keyoscar-scar |
| Zae + Uncle Skoob | 44¢ | +1pp | $18 | kalshi | /markets/will-zae-uncle-skoob-win-the-off-the-dribble-tag-t-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30rolazaun-zaun |
| Ryan | 46¢ | −41pp | $17 | kalshi | /markets/will-ryan-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-ryan-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may3002duryan-ryan |
| 02Duecee | 45¢ | +33pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-02duecee-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may3002duryan-02du |
| D Baby | 44¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-d-baby-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1-between-br-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30dbabbruc-dbab |
| Keem + Greg | 36¢ | −7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-keem-greg-win-the-off-the-dribble-2v2-between-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30kegrnado-kegr |
| Nesco | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-nesco-win-the-off-the-dribble-1v1v1-king-of-t-kalshi-kxotdbasketball-26may30moonnesclati-nesc |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | 45 |
| 2026-05-22 | 10 |
| 2026-05-29 | 52 |

_14 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-24 · Bijan +47pp 5→52¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-27 · Tello +46pp 14→60¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Keyon −41pp 50→9¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Keyon +41pp 9→50¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Bijan −41pp 46→5¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that Latin will win a three-player basketball competition among Latin, Nesco, and Moon in an Off The Dribble king-of-the-court format. The 42% probability suggests roughly even odds relative to his two opponents combined, indicating moderate confidence in his chances. Market sentiment appears driven by recent performance history and head-to-head matchup data in similar tournaments. The outcome depends on factors like current form, court conditions on match day, and how the three-player dynamic plays out compared to typical one-on-one scenarios. Resolution will occur when the tournament is completed and a winner is officially determined, providing clear market settlement.

### Key factors

- Latin's historical win rate in Off The Dribble matchups versus Nesco and Moon specifically
- The format advantage or disadvantage of three-player king-of-the-court versus bilateral matchups
- Recent tournament performance and point differential data for all three competitors in the past 60 days
- Physical condition and injury status of Latin heading into the scheduled event date
- Trading volume and directional bets on Kalshi (currently $71 in 24-hour volume suggests active interest but limited price movement)

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/otdbasketball
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=otdbasketball

## License

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