# Will The Gatos Guapos win the Rankers vs. The Gatos Guapos Overwatch match

> Closed. Final outcome: ZETA DIVISION. Last odds frozen 8 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/owgame
Updated: 2026-05-04T06:20:20.581Z
Category: sports
Status: resolved

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $5K
- Resolved: ZETA DIVISION

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZETA DIVISION | 55¢ | +38pp | $4K | kalshi | /markets/will-zeta-division-win-the-falcons-vs-zeta-divisio-kalshi-kxowgame-26may030330falzeta-zeta |
| Falcons | 21¢ | −8pp | $972 | kalshi | /markets/will-falcons-win-the-falcons-vs-zeta-division-over-kalshi-kxowgame-26may030330falzeta-fal |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 23 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · ZETA DIVISION +38pp 29→67¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Falcons −8pp 16→8¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/owgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=owgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.