# Will the total number of oceangoing transits through the Panama Canal be above 900 in May 2026

> Above 900 leads at 95%, runner-up 86% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/panamatraffic
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.326Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-10

## Headline

- Leader: Above 900 at 95%
- Runner-up: Above 950 at 86%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 900 | 95¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t900 |
| Above 950 | 86¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t950 |
| Above 1000 | 82¢ | — | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t1000 |
| Above 1050 | 52¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t1050 |
| Above 1100 | 38¢ | — | $25 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t1100 |
| Above 1150 | 21¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t1150 |
| Above 1200 | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-total-number-of-oceangoing-transits-throu-kalshi-kxpanamatraffic-26jun01-t1200 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 950 | Above 1000 | Above 1050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 86 | 68 | 52 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/panamatraffic
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=panamatraffic

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.