# What will Oz Pearlman say during White House Correspondents' Dinner

> Closed. Last odds frozen 17 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pearlmanmention
Updated: 2026-05-04T16:50:22.267Z
Category: general · Topic: election-2026
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-23

## Headline

- Leader: Childcare at 14%
- Runner-up: Knicks at 7%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Childcare | 14¢ | −9pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-zohran-mamdani-say-during-next-nyc-mayor-kalshi-kxmamdanimention-26apr30-chil |
| Knicks | 7¢ | +5pp | $526 | kalshi | /markets/what-will-zohran-mamdani-say-during-next-nyc-mayor-kalshi-kxmamdanimention-26apr30-knic |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Childcare | Knicks |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 22 | 31 |
| 2026-05-01 | 30 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 38 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 29 | 34 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Childcare −9pp 38→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Childcare +8pp 22→30¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Childcare +8pp 30→38¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Knicks −8pp 37→29¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Knicks +6pp 31→37¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pearlmanmention
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pearlmanmention
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/election-2026

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.