# Who will perform at Harry Styles 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden (MSG) in New York City

> Elton John leads at 16%, runner-up 15% across 16 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 52 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/performstylesmsg
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:09.751Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-11-30

## Headline

- Leader: Elton John at 16%
- Runner-up: Lorde at 15%
- Outcomes: 16 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton John | 16¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-elt |
| Lorde | 15¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-lor |
| Zayn Malik | 14¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-zay |
| Louis Tomlinson | 12¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-lou |
| Paul McCartney | 12¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-pau |
| Stevie Nicks | 12¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-ste |
| Taylor Swift | 12¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-tay |
| Charli XCX | 11¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-cha |
| Niall Horan | 11¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-nia |
| Mick Fleetwood | 10¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-mic |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 9¢ | −2pp | $7 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-oli |
| Jorja Smith | 9¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-jor |
| Noah Kahan | 9¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-noa |
| Phoebe Bridgers | 9¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-pho |
| Billie Eilish | 6¢ | −4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-bil |
| Bad Bunny | 5¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-harry-styles-30-night-residenc-kalshi-kxperformstylesmsg-26-bad |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Elton John | Lorde | Zayn Malik |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 2026-05-20 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
| 2026-05-21 | 20 | 18 | 15 |
| 2026-05-22 | 14 | 15 | 14 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-22 · Elton John −6pp 20→14¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Billie Eilish −4pp 11→7¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Mick Fleetwood −4pp 14→10¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-24 · Stevie Nicks −4pp 17→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-22 · Lorde −3pp 18→15¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/performstylesmsg
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=performstylesmsg

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.