# Peru vs. Spain - More Markets

> O/U 0.5 leads at 97%, runner-up 84% across 11 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 12 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/peru-vs-spain-more-markets
Updated: 2026-06-08T04:20:06.854Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-09

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 0.5 at 97%
- Runner-up: O/U 1.5 at 84%
- Outcomes: 11 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 97¢ | +17pp | $535 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-ou-05-polymarket-0x282bdbdb4964671f90cde0906649fb740f06a151c6c7324d5a6658adc9156c91 |
| O/U 1.5 | 84¢ | — | $178 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xb3238bccae6f1e3262f356972b6e7db5e444521e2cc3dc4c006bbabe7352bc15 |
| Spain (-1.5) | 65¢ | — | $642 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-spain-15-polymarket-0xda6c64ae9f6203963fc5ac7c8bcd78eea431e4869d193d020ac4628abfe3d492 |
| O/U 2.5 | 63¢ | — | $56 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xa12e990707e693715e5983d41dda585d422a7c8455469cf234962d4ca352cbf2 |
| Spain (-2.5) | 42¢ | — | $144 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-spain-25-polymarket-0x0eef30ef431c8b637b6d8ba3acb0babe24252fee65ec407f952b1ca61f5f2652 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $1K | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x3aa499e1feb55fd262348d179df9dbd0a7b89a8837ee333912f383bd5a9e93b3 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36¢ | −3pp | $261 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-both-teams-to-score-polymarket-0x8992e47a30d3c9330e3adbe8b468e0b81fea5060619653477c213e985db89ff8 |
| O/U 4.5 | 22¢ | — | $128 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xa1a4d62c4d191f39e1535b723dd3fd1ec318e8b6c66d9d19a9e63934a105e622 |
| Peru (-2.5) | 14¢ | — | $70 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-peru-25-polymarket-0x92ddd4e6d816e32373532d0b07b6620db2c309d2167dfcf884a8043ba2e2a14a |
| Peru (-1.5) | 11¢ | — | $201 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-peru-15-polymarket-0xc0244c1c1b322c72bc1f604a0bde343e33fb793d4411940f46ca3053d193359e |
| O/U 5.5 | 10¢ | −20pp | $187 | polymarket | /markets/peru-vs-spain-more-markets-ou-55-polymarket-0x83d76e66110a4fb197a022638f24e4fa9f32fadc92094c00f950c1b87c5d0188 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 0.5 | O/U 1.5 | Spain (-1.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | 49 | — | — |
| 2026-06-07 | 66 | 82 | 60 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-07 · O/U 5.5 −20pp 50→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-07 · O/U 0.5 +17pp 49→66¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-07 · Both Teams to Score −3pp 44→41¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 97% probability reflects strong market consensus that Peru vs. Spain will generate at least one additional market or trading venue beyond what has already been established. This indicates traders expect continued interest and liquidity in this matchup across multiple platforms. The high probability is driven by the demonstrated volume and contract diversity already present—with 11 bound contracts and nearly $3,000 in 24-hour trading activity—suggesting momentum toward further market proliferation. The main factor pushing this higher is existing engagement across multiple outcome types (over/unders, team spreads, both-teams-to-score). A decline would require either sudden loss of trader interest, cancellation or postponement of the match, or market consolidation reducing the need for additional venues. Resolution depends on whether new markets actually launch before the fixture concludes.

### Key factors

- Current contract suite includes 11 distinct bound markets with measurable 24h volume, indicating sufficient participant interest to justify expansion
- Over/Under 0.5 contract at 97¢ represents the strongest consensus signal, suggesting traders expect the threshold question to be relevant enough for additional markets
- Peru (-1.5) at 11¢ shows minimal expectation of Peru victory by 2+ goals, while Spain (-1.5) at 65¢ indicates stronger Spanish favoritism—asymmetric odds may drive demand for more granular markets
- Daily volume concentration ($1,015 in O/U 3.5 alone) shows sustained trading activity rather than speculative spikes, supporting the case for market expansion
- Match scheduling and any announcements regarding venue exclusivity or partnerships would be the primary trigger for resolution confirmation

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/peru-vs-spain-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=peru-vs-spain-more-markets

## License

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