# Zurich Classic of New Orleans

> Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?: Ludvig Aberg leads at 12%, runner-up 11% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pgamakecut
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:38.461Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-07

## Headline

- Leader: Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?: Ludvig Aberg at 12%
- Runner-up: Will Jon Rahm make the cut?: Jon Rahm at 11%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?: Ludvig Aberg | 12¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/pga-championship-will-ludvig-aberg-make-the-cut-lu-kalshi-kxpgamakecut-pgc26-labe |
| Will Jon Rahm make the cut?: Jon Rahm | 11¢ | ±0 | $1 | kalshi | /markets/pga-championship-will-jon-rahm-make-the-cut-jon-ra-kalshi-kxpgamakecut-pgc26-jrah |
| Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?: Wyndham Clark | 6¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/pga-championship-will-wyndham-clark-make-the-cut-w-kalshi-kxpgamakecut-pgc26-wcla |
| Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut?: Patrick Cantlay | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/pga-championship-will-patrick-cantlay-make-the-cut-kalshi-kxpgamakecut-pgc26-pcan |
| Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut?: Bryson DeChambeau | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/pga-championship-will-bryson-dechambeau-make-the-c-kalshi-kxpgamakecut-pgc26-bdec |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Will Ludvig Aberg make the cut?: Ludvig Aberg | Will Jon Rahm make the cut?: Jon Rahm | Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?: Wyndham Clark |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | 11 | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | — | 10 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
| 2026-05-03 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
| 2026-05-06 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
| 2026-05-07 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | 12 | 11 | 6 |

_7 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

The Zurich Classic of New Orleans is a PGA Tour golf tournament held annually in Louisiana, and the 6% probability reflects market expectations about a specific outcome related to this event—likely involving tournament winner prediction, venue-related betting, or New Orleans sports team performance coinciding with the tournament dates. The current low probability suggests the market views this outcome as unlikely given available information. Key drivers include historical tournament data, participant field strength, weather patterns during the tournament window, and any recent announcements about format changes or participating players. The main resolution point will be the tournament results when it occurs, with the specific outcome determined by final leaderboard standings or announced participants.

### Key factors

- Historical tournament results and winner patterns at the Zurich Classic dating back multiple years
- Quality and composition of the current PGA Tour player field committed to participate
- Weather forecasts and course conditions at TPC Louisiana for the tournament dates
- Recent form and rankings of the favorite contenders or specific players relevant to the bet
- Any announced changes to tournament format, sponsorship, or scheduling that could affect outcome likelihood

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pgamakecut
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pgamakecut

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.