# Will Tie win the Solheim Cup

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 3 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pgasolheim
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.442Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2028-09-12

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 3 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 52¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-united-states-win-the-solheim-cup-united-stat-kalshi-kxpgasolheim-sc26-usa |
| Europe | 42¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-europe-win-the-solheim-cup-europe-kalshi-kxpgasolheim-sc26-eu |
| Tie | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-tie-win-the-solheim-cup-tie-kalshi-kxpgasolheim-sc26-tie |

## Analysis

A 33% probability indicates the market estimates roughly one-in-three odds that the event will occur. The Solheim Cup is a biennial golf competition featuring teams of professional women golfers from Europe and the United States. Probability levels in prediction markets reflect aggregated expectations based on historical performance, current team composition, player form, and venue factors. Movements in this probability would typically result from significant changes in player rankings, recent tournament results, team roster announcements, or course-specific conditions that favor one team over another. The upcoming event date serves as the primary resolution point, with market participants continuously adjusting odds based on new information about player fitness, recent performance metrics, and head-to-head historical matchups between the competing sides.

### Key factors

- Historical win rates and recent performance trends of each team in Solheim Cup competitions
- Current world golf rankings and form of individual team members leading into the event
- Course setup and venue characteristics that may favor European or American playing styles
- Injury status or roster changes announced by either team before competition
- Recent international match play results and team dynamics from the season leading to the event

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pgasolheim
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pgasolheim

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.