# Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC

> El Mokawloon El Arab SC leads at 37%, runner-up 34% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pharco-fc-vs-el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:58.878Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: El Mokawloon El Arab SC at 37%
- Runner-up: Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC) at 34%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mokawloon El Arab SC | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pharco-fc-vs-el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc-el-mokawloon-polymarket-0x44181c0a129e74b07292b19525679c9b3165690ad9e7b1e879dd3f603ec44216 |
| Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC) | 34¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pharco-fc-vs-el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc-draw-pharco-f-polymarket-0x568aa444061267e403f5be9d0bb4999876a3788d1cdb5e4a230f496ac59e4817 |
| Pharco FC | 30¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pharco-fc-vs-el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc-pharco-fc-polymarket-0x30ab648f6080fba8d42b9ca43a2de669be44a238ff7560d2e0eb90c3bada15fd |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | El Mokawloon El Arab SC | Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC) | Pharco FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 34 | 30 | 24 |
| 2026-04-30 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 2026-05-01 | 36 | 35 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 37 | 34 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 37 | 33 | 29 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Pharco FC +5pp 24→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-01 · Draw (Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC) +4pp 31→35¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 36% probability indicates that Pharco FC is favored but not strongly favored to win against El Mokawloon El Arab SC. The market reflects moderate confidence in Pharco's victory, with nearly one-third of probability mass distributed among alternative outcomes. The current pricing likely reflects recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field considerations. Key factors pushing probability up or down would include team lineup confirmations, injury updates in the days before the match, and any shift in Egyptian Premier League standings that alters playoff implications. The match result on its scheduled date will definitively resolve this contract, eliminating all remaining uncertainty around this fixture.

### Key factors

- Pharco's recent performance trend and current league position relative to El Mokawloon
- Injury or suspension status of key players for either squad ahead of the fixture
- Historical head-to-head record between the two clubs and goal-scoring patterns
- Home-field advantage status and crowd dynamics at the designated venue
- League standings context: whether this match affects qualification, playoff seeding, or title race implications

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pharco-fc-vs-el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pharco-fc-vs-el-mokawloon-el-arab-sc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.