# Pharco FC vs. Modern SC

> Modern SC leads at 25%, runner-up 23% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.997Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: Modern SC at 25%
- Runner-up: Draw (Pharco FC vs. Modern SC) at 23%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modern SC | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc-modern-sc-polymarket-0xc193cfcb6ff71d1a070a803e4a83725ece6b3e89cb19a91d25c079d788c7b217 |
| Draw (Pharco FC vs. Modern SC) | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc-draw-pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc-polymarket-0x0f11293cb59cbed3dccf764c73e9535a17f51f6975035845c39288532d54d910 |
| Pharco FC | 19¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc-pharco-fc-polymarket-0xe5cfba4b80ef05435abb8395ac608d4e9ba22d8ce38d4f9b4d84b150d4f1e83d |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Modern SC | Draw (Pharco FC vs. Modern SC) | Pharco FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 33 | 31 | 39 |
| 2026-05-08 | 33 | 31 | 39 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

Pharco FC is currently priced at 37% likelihood to win an upcoming match against Modern SC, with a 32% probability assigned to Modern SC and a 30% probability of a draw across three prediction contracts. This reflects moderate confidence in a Pharco victory, though the outcome remains genuinely uncertain given the relatively close probabilities among all three outcomes. The pricing likely reflects recent form, head-to-head records, home/away status, and squad availability. Key catalysts that would shift these probabilities include team news regarding injuries or suspensions, recent performance trends, and any tactical or personnel changes announced closer to match day. The resolution will occur upon completion of the match, at which point one outcome will settle at 100% and the others at zero.

### Key factors

- Pharco FC's current win probability (37%) exceeds Modern SC's (32%) but neither team is heavily favored, indicating competitive balance or limited market conviction
- All three contracts show zero 24-hour volume, suggesting limited recent trading activity and potentially stale prices that may not reflect latest information
- The draw outcome (30%) represents a meaningful portion of total probability mass, indicating analysts expect genuine uncertainty rather than a likely decisive result
- Current spreads across contracts (7 percentage points between Pharco at 37% and Modern at 32%) are modest, reflecting relatively tight match expectations
- The match outcome will be binary and fully resolvable, eliminating ambiguity about which contract settles upon completion

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pharco-fc-vs-modern-sc

## License

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