# Denver Outlaws vs Utah Archers Winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 46% across 4 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pllgame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.602Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-23

## Headline

- Probability: 46% (liquidity-weighted across 4 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $146

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Waterdogs | 47¢ | +33pp | $102 | kalshi | /markets/philadelphia-waterdogs-vs-maryland-whipsnakes-winn-kalshi-kxpllgame-26may09phimdw-phi |
| Denver Outlaws | 57¢ | +2pp | $31 | kalshi | /markets/denver-outlaws-vs-utah-archers-winner-denver-outla-kalshi-kxpllgame-26may09denuta-den |
| Utah Archers | 38¢ | +30pp | $12 | kalshi | /markets/denver-outlaws-vs-utah-archers-winner-utah-archers-kalshi-kxpllgame-26may09denuta-uta |
| Maryland Whipsnakes | 41¢ | +11pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/philadelphia-waterdogs-vs-maryland-whipsnakes-winn-kalshi-kxpllgame-26may09phimdw-mdw |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 2 |
| 2026-05-07 | 8 |
| 2026-05-08 | 40 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Philadelphia Waterdogs +33pp 13→46¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Utah Archers +30pp 3→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Philadelphia Waterdogs +11pp 2→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Maryland Whipsnakes +11pp 2→13¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pllgame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pllgame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.