# Will Philip Morris International Inc report above 185 million zyn us shipment volume in Q1 2026

> Above 160 million leads at 95%, runner-up 92% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pm
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.779Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-08-20

## Headline

- Leader: Above 160 million at 95%
- Runner-up: Above 165 million at 92%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $72

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 160 million | 95¢ | +2pp | $19 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-160000000 |
| Above 165 million | 92¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-165000000 |
| Above 170 million | 88¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-170000000 |
| Above 175 million | 80¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-175000000 |
| Above 180 million | 70¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-180000000 |
| Above 185 million | 61¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-185000000 |
| Above 190 million | 52¢ | +3pp | $54 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-190000000 |
| Above 195 million | 36¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-195000000 |
| Above 200 million | 25¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-philip-morris-international-inc-report-above-kalshi-kxpm-26julzynship-200000000 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Above 160 million | Above 165 million | Above 170 million |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | 79 | 67 | 53 |
| 2026-04-24 | 86 | 77 | 66 |
| 2026-05-02 | 93 | 88 | 82 |
| 2026-05-07 | 95 | 93 | 87 |

_9 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Above 190 million +4pp 45→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 165 million +4pp 89→93¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 185 million +4pp 57→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 190 million +3pp 49→52¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Above 170 million +3pp 84→87¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pm
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pm

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.