# Will Miley Cyrus go on Call Her Daddy

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 20% across 19 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/podcastguestcallherdaddy
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:40.812Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Probability: 20% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $4

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morgan | 13¢ | +1pp | $4 | kalshi | /markets/will-alex-morgan-go-on-call-her-daddy-alex-morgan-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-ale |
| Hailey Bieber | 26¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-hailey-bieber-go-on-call-her-daddy-hailey-bie-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-hai |
| Kylie Jenner | 27¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kylie-jenner-go-on-call-her-daddy-kylie-jenne-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-kyl |
| Kim Kardashian | 25¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kim-kardashian-go-on-call-her-daddy-kim-karda-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-kim |
| Kendall Jenner | 38¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kendall-jenner-go-on-call-her-daddy-kendall-j-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-ken |
| Megan Fox | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-megan-fox-go-on-call-her-daddy-megan-fox-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-meg |
| Addison Rae | 18¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-addison-rae-go-on-call-her-daddy-addison-rae-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-add |
| Madelyn Cline | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-madelyn-cline-go-on-call-her-daddy-madelyn-cl-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-mad |
| Sydney Sweeney | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-sydney-sweeney-go-on-call-her-daddy-sydney-sw-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-syd |
| Ice Spice | 22¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ice-spice-go-on-call-her-daddy-ice-spice-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-ice |
| Taylor Swift | 4¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-taylor-swift-go-on-call-her-daddy-taylor-swif-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-tay |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 15¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-olivia-rodrigo-go-on-call-her-daddy-olivia-ro-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-oli |
| Billie Eilish | 7¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-billie-eilish-go-on-call-her-daddy-billie-eil-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-bil |
| Ariana Grande | 5¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-ariana-grande-go-on-call-her-daddy-ariana-gra-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-ari |
| Dua Lipa | 11¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-dua-lipa-go-on-call-her-daddy-dua-lipa-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-dua |
| Doja Cat | 15¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-doja-cat-go-on-call-her-daddy-doja-cat-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-doj |
| Miley Cyrus | 38¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-miley-cyrus-go-on-call-her-daddy-miley-cyrus-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-mil |
| Tate McRae | 23¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-tate-mcrae-go-on-call-her-daddy-tate-mcrae-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-tat |
| Zendaya | 5¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-zendaya-go-on-call-her-daddy-zendaya-kalshi-kxpodcastguestcallherdaddy-27jan-zen |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 30 |
| 2026-04-25 | 41 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-09 | 41 |

_29 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability estimates the likelihood that Miley Cyrus will appear as a guest on the Call Her Daddy podcast hosted by Alex Cooper. At 19%, the market suggests traders view this outcome as unlikely but not impossible. The low probability likely reflects Cyrus's relatively infrequent podcast appearances and the lack of any public indication of scheduled plans. The probability could move higher if Cyrus publicly hints at participation, announces a new album cycle requiring promotional interviews, or if Cooper's guest roster for 2026 increasingly includes major music industry figures. The probability could fall if Cyrus explicitly declines similar interview opportunities or if the podcast winds down operations. Near-term movement will depend on whether any surprise guest announcements occur, as Call Her Daddy typically publicizes major guests in advance. Without scheduled dates or confirmed interest from either party, sustained resolution will likely occur through end-of-year verification.

### Key factors

- Miley Cyrus's historical frequency of podcast guest appearances and whether 2026 includes a major promotional campaign requiring media rounds
- Prior collaborative history between Cyrus and Alex Cooper or Call Her Daddy, including any previous interview offers or public interactions
- Call Her Daddy's guest booking patterns in 2026 and whether music industry figures remain a primary focus for the show
- Public statements from either Cyrus or Cooper regarding podcast participation or mutual interest
- Industry calendar visibility—whether Cyrus announces new music, tours, or other projects requiring promotional interviews before year-end

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/podcastguestcallherdaddy
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=podcastguestcallherdaddy

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