# Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 29% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pohang-steelers-fc-vs-gwangju-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:08.848Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 29% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 32% / Polymarket 29% — 3pp spread
- 24h volume: $50

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | −7pp | $28 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-poha-polymarket-0xbebd40e0775489e30acba700dc801ea287d98a2cdd798bcbd74090cc0dce6491 |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC | 71¢ | +9pp | $15 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-jeonbuk-hy-polymarket-0xdfea5881595ff13bc238878ea35eb124a31b645b67c93eb6fdd3c5371b3f9e90 |
| Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC) | 18¢ | −8pp | $6 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-draw-jeonb-polymarket-0xe6fc3398e9ec7537e5961490cab0bfb5fbea85cf289e8a21c5581b5143832250 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | +1pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0x4a0472cb7ccdcd5366403565331f4a95348950540345b4d9bc38cb051f3f2ce2 |
| Draw (Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC) | 31¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-draw-gangwon-fc-v-polymarket-0x723f6513bff795c8e26c77d1a02dc05383b9ee65b6468ab1692b1fe11dc56749 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-both-polymarket-0xdb7be8346be40aa763c55f68f85fd3167b7990b5d332f721c69c933b2038c886 |
| O/U 4.5 | 7¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x22a7b873ff4263dd494ac04691c575e34e6ead679615d49097bdbeec5509f1ac |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-2-polymarket-0x39eae113869c1417d45063c370cc1a1de6cf6959b55b185ab24de3da4206cc7b |
| Gangwon FC (-2.5) | 7¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-gang-polymarket-0x36d69b46f9ba0a6cfc5168b305eca85afa449e888dea2c0d48395ad3a81b31ff |
| O/U 3.5 | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-3-polymarket-0x9e7de8736cfe8c0a7d4852c1766964d88ea13f5a0ac20f6e937b1a331b02ac10 |
| Gangwon FC | 45¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-gangwon-fc-polymarket-0x09ab68384d4d225b73ee81dc3d999bed2d77b5f4c330ca15faf3d522e1e20c78 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) | 8¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-poha-polymarket-0xe483f075697000ad1401fe2478d87793c1c64ba6bd865b6684fa7090bfbc01b4 |
| Pohang Steelers FC | 25¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-pohang-steelers-f-polymarket-0xa80cd7cea8e72ee13a95418eabf7e7dc15764334801b08c5f1503d988061c5ea |
| Gangwon FC (-1.5) | 19¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-gang-polymarket-0x9773477051a3c61942e8e0a25db15ec0cc259cc84a8129b808f5da2ee5454855 |
| Pohang Steelers | 22¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gangwon-vs-pohang-steelers-winner-pohang-steelers-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gawpoh-poh |
| Gwangju FC (-1.5) | 6¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x6c4d812681552422be5113cae3c1443870b112f3ca6c42ac8ae8f1415a89fbcf |
| O/U 1.5 | 74¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x8917c8bd5c8bb68a43be22af0ab69a334d5941038a71179ed46852972fcf3bcb |
| O/U 3.5 | 27¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xd12dde970e6a963e3f1321f9c4477d7775353c10e980e13b007a718963e34dcd |
| Gwangju FC | 9¢ | −18pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-gwangju-fc-polymarket-0x4fa9628795328fdd9b586dd0e161a81e47cc7d5eb43ea10f9774cf04a9bd6fa1 |
| Gangwon | 42¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/gangwon-vs-pohang-steelers-winner-gangwon-kalshi-kxkleaguegame-26may05gawpoh-gaw |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 26 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) −24pp 37→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) −23pp 35→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Gwangju FC −18pp 28→10¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gwangju FC (-1.5) −17pp 33→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gangwon FC (-2.5) −15pp 33→18¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pohang-steelers-fc-vs-gwangju-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pohang-steelers-fc-vs-gwangju-fc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.