# Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 86%, runner-up 67% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T08:05:28.480Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 86%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 67%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $386

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 86¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0x8485963ee75afa1f431cb3b1779f7f215bae16b5a22b526fb689f1e5293b8c0d |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | ±0 | $154 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0x3024cba234b37e2aa8c22d9aded574a5f4fb672ba89c357d08af8828fcf49927 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61¢ | −1pp | $74 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0xf366f16dff5a6808694517fd0fa81f548af19f288ff580e10e769fd10f163dd7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 45¢ | ±0 | $15 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0xaa4d9d2badc80e85dff2ffd0fcd7a34b3b65e821b41df605aec2036dbe0bcef9 |
| Portland Timbers (-1.5) | 41¢ | +1pp | $31 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0xd552ac4d06d7a39f3857a8e218369c04dcdda06d29a3c02a8e4d8872ece8ed4e |
| O/U 4.5 | 26¢ | ±0 | $93 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0x85509a776d9837ecb44e9987bae5f94b6ec41f507d1416bee6a0c3812da00f49 |
| Portland Timbers (-2.5) | 22¢ | +1pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0x1abbfdf16302ae84f2aa9b64b7871f5eb2abf7ff81c2a0dbe82ef4bd006f2574 |
| Sporting Kansas City (-1.5) | 7¢ | +1pp | $17 | polymarket | /markets/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-mark-polymarket-0x87e5add44f93326800bd74efc69195c48171a63349ed2dc7e7257abe387de638 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 86 | — | 64 |
| 2026-05-07 | 86 | 67 | 63 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 67 | 62 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

The 64% probability reflects market expectations that both Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City will score in their upcoming matchup. This outcome occurs in roughly two-thirds of similar MLS contests based on current market pricing. The probability is driven primarily by both teams' recent offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities in the 2026 season. Portland's attacking threat and Kansas City's scoring tendency push the probability higher, while either team's defensive setup or conservative tactics could lower it. The match result itself—scheduled for the next regular-season game between these clubs—will definitively resolve whether both teams score, making this a straightforward binary outcome dependent on in-game performance rather than subjective interpretation.

### Key factors

- Portland Timbers' goal-scoring rate this season compared to historical averages for the fixture
- Sporting Kansas City's defensive record and conceding patterns in recent matches
- Tactical lineup choices, injuries to key players, or formation changes announced before kickoff
- Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these two teams in the MLS regular season
- Weather or field conditions on match day that typically affect scoring frequency

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=portland-timbers-vs-sporting-kansas-city-more-markets

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