# Premiership Rugby

> Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Leicester Tigers leads at 57%, runner-up 53% across 12 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/premiership-rugby
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:50:42.761Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-17

## Headline

- Leader: Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Leicester Tigers at 57%
- Runner-up: Newcastle Red Bulls vs Harlequins: Harlequins at 53%
- Outcomes: 12 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $72

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Leicester Tigers | 57¢ | +8pp | $13 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-leicester-tigers-vs-northampton-polymarket-0xeba38944051b6abe9df2ac2a715bfd2c472e39fc5d997e95e5ddb56449b7fdc9 |
| Newcastle Red Bulls vs Harlequins: Harlequins | 53¢ | ±0 | $3 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-newcastle-red-bulls-vs-harlequin-polymarket-0x6f3d20b4268dbfdfe704c9709aecee7d19ff2476f8070d301102735a3815d09e |
| Bristol Bears vs Saracens: Saracens | 49¢ | −1pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-bristol-bears-vs-saracens-sarace-polymarket-0xc246fd300bafe81c852e6d802ff393418b9e7b3819f49f6928da5e0f7577259e |
| Bristol Bears vs Saracens: Bristol Bears | 45¢ | −5pp | $13 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-bristol-bears-vs-saracens-bristo-polymarket-0xfa1995e8c81c968fe8e2ceb53579e6e5e98a37f7e318b902f64f23cfbed0e54a |
| Exeter Chiefs vs Bath: Bath | 44¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-exeter-chiefs-vs-bath-bath-polymarket-0x027b9ce5127db9755e23b53a58e8e660a0ca7c997ca8521bc0e850e2ab53c811 |
| Newcastle Red Bulls vs Harlequins: Newcastle Red Bulls | 42¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-newcastle-red-bulls-vs-harlequin-polymarket-0x0201f2f95f2600957d8eb4db33190e74719af68db40f674093b84ba19a614d72 |
| Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Northampton Saints | 34¢ | −4pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-leicester-tigers-vs-northampton-polymarket-0x236b19489855c9a1991ff9d7aa16fe5449f4d5d3188b9e502cc77155cb73577a |
| Exeter Chiefs vs Bath: Exeter Chiefs | 32¢ | −2pp | $4 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-exeter-chiefs-vs-bath-exeter-chi-polymarket-0xc486967d32e6d17834392f7dc4b0fd66060ffb15649c71dae3eddf1633de5ee7 |
| Newcastle Red Bulls vs Harlequins: Draw | 31¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-newcastle-red-bulls-vs-harlequin-polymarket-0xf36299f95e38d5775d28c096d1b9baec0d6ebe20880b9bc686e927ca1c2de49f |
| Bristol Bears vs Saracens: Draw | 5¢ | −18pp | $20 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-bristol-bears-vs-saracens-draw-polymarket-0x33eefe19dec982a63b1a7ad770894951e73d326034e9d5e5b1525cc1a04d1659 |
| Exeter Chiefs vs Bath: Draw | 5¢ | −25pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-exeter-chiefs-vs-bath-draw-polymarket-0x7056158b38673c118fb05bd3c7244e1d600c1b4f7b3347bcad8a2d6f46c8ddb0 |
| Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Draw | 4¢ | −1pp | $6 | polymarket | /markets/premiership-rugby-leicester-tigers-vs-northampton-polymarket-0x239488f2b34efdeead4ddf20becec571a74b48a5ae007106cae554bc32a7419a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Leicester Tigers | Newcastle Red Bulls vs Harlequins: Harlequins | Bristol Bears vs Saracens: Saracens |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 57 | 62 | 53 |
| 2026-05-07 | 55 | 55 | 49 |
| 2026-05-08 | 49 | 51 | 48 |
| 2026-05-09 | 57 | 51 | — |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Exeter Chiefs vs Bath: Draw −25pp 31→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Bristol Bears vs Saracens: Draw −18pp 23→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Exeter Chiefs vs Bath: Draw −10pp 41→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints: Leicester Tigers +8pp 49→57¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Newcastle Red Bulls vs Harlequins: Harlequins −7pp 62→55¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/premiership-rugby
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=premiership-rugby

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.