# Pro Football: AFC North Champion

> AFC North Champion: Baltimore Ravens leads at 43%, runner-up 39% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/pro-football-afc-north-champion
Updated: 2026-06-08T09:20:10.164Z
Category: sports
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-04

## Headline

- Leader: AFC North Champion: Baltimore Ravens at 43%
- Runner-up: AFC North Champion: Cincinnati Bengals at 39%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC North Champion: Baltimore Ravens | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pro-football-afc-north-champion-baltimore-ravens-polymarket-0x74472d82bf55db42f9a30e354f92f86d09d39b3cd6b368e3f17c69ebe3d54e44 |
| AFC North Champion: Cincinnati Bengals | 39¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pro-football-afc-north-champion-cincinnati-bengals-polymarket-0x779a70f850eaf259358095f62f7fe4ec1563ae23e33af84c92a0599c3f564e0d |
| AFC North Champion: Pittsburgh Steelers | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pro-football-afc-north-champion-pittsburgh-steeler-polymarket-0xd343ac8afb661672dceda67537546281b2e3f76db481625dfdd7b9be26dc719b |
| AFC North Champion: Cleveland Browns | 6¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/pro-football-afc-north-champion-cleveland-browns-polymarket-0x823b60dbfd245942833931cc291d2290c802f549fd3b55ab2102e9ad23413e16 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | AFC North Champion: Baltimore Ravens | AFC North Champion: Cincinnati Bengals | AFC North Champion: Pittsburgh Steelers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 48 | 29 | 11 |
| 2026-05-25 | 44 | 31 | 11 |
| 2026-06-01 | 44 | 36 | 20 |
| 2026-06-08 | 43 | 41 | 25 |

_31 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-03 · AFC North Champion: Pittsburgh Steelers +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-04 · AFC North Champion: Pittsburgh Steelers −6pp 29→23¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-06 · AFC North Champion: Cincinnati Bengals +4pp 40→44¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-02 · AFC North Champion: Baltimore Ravens −3pp 44→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-04 · AFC North Champion: Cincinnati Bengals +3pp 39→42¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 54% probability indicates that the leading AFC North team contract is priced to suggest better-than-even odds of winning the division title. The assessment reflects current regular-season performance, roster health, and remaining schedule strength—teams with stronger records and lower injury counts typically trade higher. Movement in this probability would follow week-to-week win-loss results, notable injuries to star players, or changes in strength of schedule. The main resolution catalyst is the NFL regular season's conclusion in early January 2027, which determines the division winner; however, meaningful probability shifts will occur throughout the season as standings clarify and playoff positioning becomes more certain. Interim movements also depend on published injury reports and trade deadline activity in late October.

### Key factors

- Current win-loss record and head-to-head division standings as of May 2026, which establish baseline competitive positioning among the four AFC North teams
- Injury status of key offensive or defensive players on the leading contract team, since absences of star performers typically reduce division-winning probabilities
- Remaining strength of schedule for each AFC North team, measured by opponent win rates from the prior season, affecting expected win totals
- Trading volume and sustained price levels across the four competing division contracts, indicating whether the 54% leader is holding or eroding support
- Performance of division rivals in early-season games (September-October 2026), which can rapidly shift probabilities as actual outcomes replace preseason projections

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=pro-football-afc-north-champion

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